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Quality of Monetary Policy in Brazil: Adherence and COPOM¡¯s Directors Turnover Effect

Author

Listed:
  • Allan Silveira dos Santos

    (State University of Maring¨¢, Brazil)

  • Maria Helena Ambrosio Dias

    (State University of Maring¨¢, Brazil)

  • Joilson Dias

    (State University of Maring¨¢, Brazil)

Abstract

The objective of this paper is to analyze the social cost of monetary policy in Brazil. The monetary adherence and the Copom¡äs director turnover are used as way to test the quality of the monetary policy. We estimated two reaction functions using structural vector autoregressive techniques. The result of the two reaction functions indicates that the turnover of director in the monetary policy committee leads to the increase in the interest rate in order to keep inflation rate around the desired target level. Thus, the turnover produces a high social cost to the economy through monetary policy. Moreover, the monetary adherence measured by the deviation of monetary aggregates from its optimal level seems to be the ultimate exogenous variable that causes changes in output gap and inflation. Thus, the economy would have less social cost if policymakers pay closer attention to the deviations of monetary aggregates to its optimal level.

Suggested Citation

  • Allan Silveira dos Santos & Maria Helena Ambrosio Dias & Joilson Dias, 2013. "Quality of Monetary Policy in Brazil: Adherence and COPOM¡¯s Directors Turnover Effect," Transnational Corporations Review, Ottawa United Learning Academy, vol. 5(4), pages 1-20, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:oul:tncr09:v:5:y:2013:i:4:p:1-20
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