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A Granular Examination of the Impact of the Health Crisis and the Public Support Measures on French Companies’ Financial Situation

Author

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  • Benjamin Bureau
  • Anne Duquerroy
  • Julien Giorgi
  • Mathias Lé
  • Suzanne Scott
  • Frédéric Vinas

Abstract

[eng] We develop a microsimulation model fed by a particularly rich set of individual data in order to assess the impact of the health crisis on the financial situation of more than 645,000 French companies in 2020. We show that the relative stability in net debt at the macroeconomic level is concealing major disparities on an individual level. Heterogeneity is particularly significant between sectors (before and after public support measures) but is also present within each sector. Our simulations confirm the need for public intervention during the crisis: a mere adjustment in company behaviour is insufficient to absorb the shock. These support measures brought the share of firms with a negative cash flow shock in line with normal years, although “extrem” cash flow shocks occur more frequently than usual. One important lesson learned from this exercise is that sector and size cannot be the only criteria taken into account when drawing up crisis recovery policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Benjamin Bureau & Anne Duquerroy & Julien Giorgi & Mathias Lé & Suzanne Scott & Frédéric Vinas, 2022. "A Granular Examination of the Impact of the Health Crisis and the Public Support Measures on French Companies’ Financial Situation," Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (INSEE), issue 532-33, pages 25-45.
    • Handle: RePEc:nse:ecosta:ecostat_2022_532_2
    DOI: https//doi.org/10.24187/ecostat.2022.532.2069
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Nicholas Bloom & Robert S. Fletcher & Ethan Yeh, 2021. "The Impact of COVID-19 on US Firms," NBER Working Papers 28314, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • G38 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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