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Past Performance May Be an Illusion: Performance, Flows, and Fees in Mutual Funds

Author

Listed:
  • Phillips, Blake
  • Pukthuanthong, Kantura
  • Rau, P. Raghavendra

Abstract

Mutual funds report performance in the form of a holding period return (HPR) over standardized horizons. Changes in HPRs are equally influenced by new and previously reported stale returns which enter and exit the horizon. Investors appear unable to differentiate between the joint determinants, reacting with equal strength to both signals. Stale performance chasing is amplified for funds which promote performance via advertising and is more pronounced during periods of uncertainty in financial markets. Fund managers exploit this behavior by preferentially timing fee increases to align with periods of heightened investor demand resulting from stale performance chasing.

Suggested Citation

  • Phillips, Blake & Pukthuanthong, Kantura & Rau, P. Raghavendra, 2016. "Past Performance May Be an Illusion: Performance, Flows, and Fees in Mutual Funds," Critical Finance Review, now publishers, vol. 5(2), pages 351-398, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:now:jnlcfr:104.00000032
    DOI: 10.1561/104.00000032
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Joshua Schwartzstein & Adi Sunderam, 2021. "Using Models to Persuade," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 111(1), pages 276-323, January.
    2. Kaniel, Ron & Parham, Robert, 2017. "WSJ Category Kings – The impact of media attention on consumer and mutual fund investment decisions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(2), pages 337-356.
    3. Kronlund, Mathias & Pool, Veronika K. & Sialm, Clemens & Stefanescu, Irina, 2021. "Out of sight no more? The effect of fee disclosures on 401(k) investment allocations," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 644-668.
    4. Hafinaz Hasniyanti Hassan, 2018. "Conceptual Framework for the Determinants of Mutual Fund Performance in Malaysia," GATR Journals jfbr146, Global Academy of Training and Research (GATR) Enterprise.
    5. Daniel Chiew & Judy Qiu & Sirimon Treepongkaruna & Jiping Yang & Chenxiao Shi, 2019. "The predictive ability of the expected utility-entropy based fund rating approach: A comparison investigation with Morningstar ratings in US," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(4), pages 1-22, April.
    6. Yamani, Ehab, 2023. "The informational role of fund flow in the profitable predictability of mutual funds," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    7. Maya Shaton, 2017. "The Display of Information and Household Investment Behavior," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-043, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    8. Phillips, Blake & Pukthuanthong, Kuntara & Rau, P. Raghavendra, 2018. "Size does not matter: Diseconomies of scale in the mutual fund industry revisited," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 357-365.
    9. Rakowski, David & Yamani, Ehab, 2021. "Endogeneity in the mutual fund flow–performance relationship: An instrumental variables solution," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 247-271.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Limited attention; Behavioral finance; Investor psychology; Capital markets; Horizon Effects; Mutual fund fee-setting;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • J31 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials

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