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Os efeitos econômicos da compensação integral do crédito do ICMS sobre o investimento no Brasil: o papel da União [The economic effects of full ICMS credit compensation on investment in Brazil: the Federal Role]

Author

Listed:
  • Nelson Leitão Paes

    (UFPE)

Abstract

Este artigo analisa o impacto da compensação imediata e integral do ICMS sobre o investimento através de um modelo de equilíbrio geral. Os resultados sugerem impactos positivos sobre a economia, porém com perda de arrecadação de 1,25% para os Estados no curto prazo. Uma alternativa é o aumento das transferências da União para Estados e Municípios. Nesse caso, as perdas no curto prazo se limitam a 0,5%, com ganhos de receitas no longo prazo de 0,1% para todos os entes federados. A retirada do ICMS pode resultar em ganhos de arrecadação no longo prazo mesmo sem qualquer aumento de tributo.

Suggested Citation

  • Nelson Leitão Paes, 2019. "Os efeitos econômicos da compensação integral do crédito do ICMS sobre o investimento no Brasil: o papel da União [The economic effects of full ICMS credit compensation on investment in Brazil: the Fe," Nova Economia, Economics Department, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (Brazil), vol. 29(2), pages 515-540, May-Augus.
    • Handle: RePEc:nov:artigo:v:29:y:2019:i:2:p:515-540
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    ICMS; investimento; bens de capital; transferências verticais;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
    • H22 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Incidence
    • H25 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Business Taxes and Subsidies

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