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O limítrofe do horário de verão: análises quase-experimentais do consumo de energia elétrica na Bahia e no Tocantins [The daylight saving borderline: quasi-experimental analysis of the electric power consumption in Bahia and Tocantins]

Author

Listed:
  • Francis Petterini

    (UFSC)

  • Diogo Signor

    (UFSC)

  • Pedro Santos

    (UFSC)

Abstract

O horário de verão é adotado no Brasil para melhorar a eficiência energética e a segurança do sistema elétrico interligado. Os estados meridionais tendem a contribuir mais nesse sentido, havendo um limítrofe questionável em estados como Bahia e Tocantins. Explorando o arcabouço de inferência causal de Neyman-Rubin e situações quase-experimentais na Bahia e no Tocantins, o artigo analisa as trajetórias do consumo total de energia elétrica estadual usando diferenças-em-diferenças e controle sintético. Conclui-se que a participação da Bahia gera uma economia energética de até 252 GWh, e que a participação do Tocantins não gera efeitos significativos.

Suggested Citation

  • Francis Petterini & Diogo Signor & Pedro Santos, 2018. "O limítrofe do horário de verão: análises quase-experimentais do consumo de energia elétrica na Bahia e no Tocantins [The daylight saving borderline: quasi-experimental analysis of the electric power ," Nova Economia, Economics Department, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (Brazil), vol. 28(3), pages 943-964, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:nov:artigo:v:28:y:2018:i:3:p:943-964
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    horário de verão; consumo total de energia elétrica; quase-experimento; diferenças-em-diferenças; controle sintético;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • Q47 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy Forecasting

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