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Assessment Of Illegal Capital Flows In The Republic Of Moldova

Author

Listed:
  • Tatiana PETROVA

    (INCE)

  • Victoria IORDACHI
  • Dorina CLICHICI

Abstract

This paper analyses the existent methodologies used in international practice to estimate illegal capital outflows. Also, authors carried out an assessment of the illegal capital outflows in the Republic of Moldova on the basis of two models: the general method based on the balance of payments and the World Bank’s "residual" model. The paper reflects the exceptional situation of the financial system of the Republic of Moldova and trends in evolution of capital flows. The analysis of illegal flows should be part of the monitoring system of the country’s financial stability, which will allow identifying in time negative trends that threaten Moldova's financial security. The main research methods were systemic analysis and logic synthesis; data analysis and interpretation; statistical methods, etc. The main conclusions obtained within the research of this topic are: for more reliable estimates for analytical purposes, it is necessary to develop an adequate methodological base that would help to measure and analyze shadow cross-border flows; for the assessment of the financial security of the Republic of Moldova, as a transition economy, it is important to monitor, analyze and forecast a broader list of financial indicators, as well as their critical values.

Suggested Citation

  • Tatiana PETROVA & Victoria IORDACHI & Dorina CLICHICI, 2017. "Assessment Of Illegal Capital Flows In The Republic Of Moldova," ECONOMY AND SOCIOLOGY: Theoretical and Scientifical Journal, Socionet;Complexul Editorial "INCE", issue 1-2, pages 95-102.
    • Handle: RePEc:nos:ycriat:272
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jane Harrigan & George Mavrotas & Zulkornain Yusop, 2002. "On The Determinants Of Capital Flight: A New Approach," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(2), pages 203-241.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ivan LUCHIAN & Victoria IORDACHI, 2018. "Illicit Financial Flows And Corruption - The Actual Major Problem," Contemporary Economy Journal, Constantin Brancoveanu University, vol. 3(4), pages 83-92.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    capital outflow; illegal flows; balance of payments; financial stability; capital flight; World Bank; Residual model; Trade misinvoicing model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements

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