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Secular stagnation in the modern world

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  • S. M. Drobyshevsky
  • P. V. Trunin
  • A. V. Bozhechkova

Abstract

The paper studies the factors of secular stagnation. Key factors of long-term slowdown in economic growth include the slowdown of technological development, aging population, human capital accumulation limits, high public debt, creative destruction process violation etc. The authors analyze key theoretical aspects of long-term stagnation and study the impact of these factors on Japanies economy. The authors conclude that most of the factors have significant influence on the Japanese economy for recent decades, but they cannot explain all dynamics. For Russia, on the contrary, we do not see any grounds for considering the decline in the economy since 2013 as an episode of secular stagnation.

Suggested Citation

  • S. M. Drobyshevsky & P. V. Trunin & A. V. Bozhechkova, 2018. "Secular stagnation in the modern world," Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP Voprosy Ekonomiki, issue 11.
    • Handle: RePEc:nos:voprec:y:2018:id:1521
    DOI: 10.32609/0042-8736-2018-11-125-141
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