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Measuring inflation expectations in Russia using stock market data

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  • M. Zhemkov
  • O. Kuznetsova

Abstract

This paper is devoted to the measurement of inflation expectations in Russia based on stock market data for the period from July 2015 to December 2016. It calculates the difference between the yields of the nominal and inflation-indexed government bonds and adjusts it to the inflation risk premium and liquidity risk premium to obtain inflation expectations. This net indicator represents inflation expectations of the participants of the stock market. The estimated inflation expectations can be used to analyze the effectiveness of the information policy.

Suggested Citation

  • M. Zhemkov & O. Kuznetsova, 2017. "Measuring inflation expectations in Russia using stock market data," Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP Voprosy Ekonomiki, issue 10.
    • Handle: RePEc:nos:voprec:y:2017:id:352
    DOI: 10.32609/0042-8736-2017-10-111-122
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