On the public governance robustness in turbulent times

Theoretical reflection on turbulence faces the problem of conceptualizing the relationship between stability and changes within the framework of existing models of governance. The article shows that this relationship characterizes the capacities of these models to cope with the negative consequences of shocks. All the models discussed in this article approach turbulence as a situational complexity within a limited time frame, and the control tools typical of these models are able to overcome the dysfunctions caused by turbulence and ensure stability and order. At the same time, the latter are not considered as conditions for development, and the fight against dysfunctions does not go beyond a reaction to specific unfavorable factors with a focus on returning to the initial state. The author contrasts these characteristics of the existing systems of governance with the fourth emerging model, robust governance, highlighting the structural and dynamic capacities of this model, showing the institutional traps that impede their formation. The article provides examples of institutional traps that can generate internal turbulence of governance, superimposed on the actions (consequences) of exogenous factors. It is argued that the stability of a robust system implies adjustments of functions as the outcomes of the influence of turbulence, as well as changes are innovations that use the possibilities of turbulence to transform existing governance.