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Monetary Stabilization: Modeling and Estimation for Russian Economy in 2004-2012

Author

Listed:
  • Khvostova, I.

    (National Research University Higher School of Economics, Nizhny Novgorod, Russia)

  • Novak, A.

    (National Research University Higher School of Economics, Nizhny Novgorod, Russia)

Abstract

The authors analyze the Russian monetary policy in 2004-2012. They present a model that describes short run nonlinear monetary dynamics inducing the balance of payments and policy shocks. Central Bank's international reserves are considered as the key factor of monetary and exchange rate stabilization using "ad hoc" monetary rule. Empirical analysis of the model is carried out with Bayesian techniques. Estimation measures the difference in Central Bank's preferences in crisis and postcrisis periods.

Suggested Citation

  • Khvostova, I. & Novak, A., 2014. "Monetary Stabilization: Modeling and Estimation for Russian Economy in 2004-2012," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 23(3), pages 89-105.
    • Handle: RePEc:nea:journl:y:2014:i:23:p:89-1051
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kirill Sosunov & Oleg Zamulin, 2007. "Monetary Policy in an Economy Sick with Dutch Disease," Working Papers w0101, New Economic School (NES).
    2. Ram Sharan Kharel & Christopher Martin & Costas Milas, 2010. "The Complex Response Of Monetary Policy To The Exchange Rate," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 57(1), pages 103-117, February.
    3. Paul Krugman, 1999. "Balance Sheets, the Transfer Problem, and Financial Crises," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 6(4), pages 459-472, November.
    4. Krugman, Paul, 1979. "A Model of Balance-of-Payments Crises," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 11(3), pages 311-325, August.
    5. Granville, Brigitte & Mallick, Sushanta, 2010. "Monetary Policy in Russia: Identifying exchange rate shocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 432-444, January.
    6. Карев М. Г., 2009. "Инфляция, Реальный Обменный Курс И Денежная Политика В Экономике С Ограниченной Эластичностью Потока Капитала По Процентной Ставке," Higher School of Economics Economic Journal Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное автономное образовательное учреждение высшего образования «Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики», vol. 13(3), pages 329-359.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    monetary stabilization; monetary rule; Bayesian estimation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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