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Accelerated global glacier mass loss in the early twenty-first century

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  • Romain Hugonnet

    (LEGOS, Université de Toulouse, CNES, CNRS, IRD, UPS
    Hydrology and Glaciology (VAW), ETH Zürich
    Snow and Landscape Research (WSL))

  • Robert McNabb

    (Ulster University
    University of Oslo)

  • Etienne Berthier

    (LEGOS, Université de Toulouse, CNES, CNRS, IRD, UPS)

  • Brian Menounos

    (University of Northern British Columbia
    Hakai Institute)

  • Christopher Nuth

    (University of Oslo
    The Norwegian Defense Research Establishment)

  • Luc Girod

    (University of Oslo)

  • Daniel Farinotti

    (Hydrology and Glaciology (VAW), ETH Zürich
    Snow and Landscape Research (WSL))

  • Matthias Huss

    (Hydrology and Glaciology (VAW), ETH Zürich
    Snow and Landscape Research (WSL)
    University of Fribourg)

  • Ines Dussaillant

    (LEGOS, Université de Toulouse, CNES, CNRS, IRD, UPS
    University of Zurich)

  • Fanny Brun

    (IGE, Université Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, Grenoble INP)

  • Andreas Kääb

    (University of Oslo)

Abstract

Glaciers distinct from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets are shrinking rapidly, altering regional hydrology1, raising global sea level2 and elevating natural hazards3. Yet, owing to the scarcity of constrained mass loss observations, glacier evolution during the satellite era is known only partially, as a geographic and temporal patchwork4,5. Here we reveal the accelerated, albeit contrasting, patterns of glacier mass loss during the early twenty-first century. Using largely untapped satellite archives, we chart surface elevation changes at a high spatiotemporal resolution over all of Earth’s glaciers. We extensively validate our estimates against independent, high-precision measurements and present a globally complete and consistent estimate of glacier mass change. We show that during 2000–2019, glaciers lost a mass of 267 ± 16 gigatonnes per year, equivalent to 21 ± 3 per cent of the observed sea-level rise6. We identify a mass loss acceleration of 48 ± 16 gigatonnes per year per decade, explaining 6 to 19 per cent of the observed acceleration of sea-level rise. Particularly, thinning rates of glaciers outside ice sheet peripheries doubled over the past two decades. Glaciers currently lose more mass, and at similar or larger acceleration rates, than the Greenland or Antarctic ice sheets taken separately7–9. By uncovering the patterns of mass change in many regions, we find contrasting glacier fluctuations that agree with the decadal variability in precipitation and temperature. These include a North Atlantic anomaly of decelerated mass loss, a strongly accelerated loss from northwestern American glaciers, and the apparent end of the Karakoram anomaly of mass gain10. We anticipate our highly resolved estimates to advance the understanding of drivers that govern the distribution of glacier change, and to extend our capabilities of predicting these changes at all scales. Predictions robustly benchmarked against observations are critically needed to design adaptive policies for the local- and regional-scale management of water resources and cryospheric risks, as well as for the global-scale mitigation of sea-level rise.

Suggested Citation

  • Romain Hugonnet & Robert McNabb & Etienne Berthier & Brian Menounos & Christopher Nuth & Luc Girod & Daniel Farinotti & Matthias Huss & Ines Dussaillant & Fanny Brun & Andreas Kääb, 2021. "Accelerated global glacier mass loss in the early twenty-first century," Nature, Nature, vol. 592(7856), pages 726-731, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:592:y:2021:i:7856:d:10.1038_s41586-021-03436-z
    DOI: 10.1038/s41586-021-03436-z
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    Cited by:

    1. Song, Biao & Almatrafi, Eydhah & Tan, Xiaofei & Luo, Songhao & Xiong, Weiping & Zhou, Chengyun & Qin, Meng & Liu, Yang & Cheng, Min & Zeng, Guangming & Gong, Jilai, 2022. "Biochar-based agricultural soil management: An application-dependent strategy for contributing to carbon neutrality," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    2. Silvio Marta & Anaïs Zimmer & Marco Caccianiga & Mauro Gobbi & Roberto Ambrosini & Roberto Sergio Azzoni & Fabrizio Gili & Francesca Pittino & Wilfried Thuiller & Antonello Provenzale & Gentile France, 2023. "Heterogeneous changes of soil microclimate in high mountains and glacier forelands," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    3. Yanjun Che & Shijin Wang & Yanqiang Wei & Tao Pu & Xinggang Ma, 2022. "Rapid changes to glaciers increased the outburst flood risk in Guangxieco Proglacial Lake in the Kangri Karpo Mountains, Southeast Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 110(3), pages 2163-2184, February.
    4. Berthold, Anne & Cologna, Viktoria & Siegrist, Michael, 2022. "The influence of scarcity perception on people's pro-environmental behavior and their readiness to accept new sustainable technologies," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    5. William Kochtitzky & Luke Copland & Wesley Wychen & Romain Hugonnet & Regine Hock & Julian A. Dowdeswell & Toby Benham & Tazio Strozzi & Andrey Glazovsky & Ivan Lavrentiev & David R. Rounce & Romain M, 2022. "The unquantified mass loss of Northern Hemisphere marine-terminating glaciers from 2000–2020," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    6. Xiaowei Lyu & Yong Zhang & Huanhuan Wang & Xin Wang, 2024. "Mass Balance of Maritime Glaciers in the Southeastern Tibetan Plateau during Recent Decades," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-23, August.
    7. B. Rick & D. McGrath & S. W. McCoy & W. H. Armstrong, 2023. "Unchanged frequency and decreasing magnitude of outbursts from ice-dammed lakes in Alaska," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    8. Renlu Qiao & Shuo Gao & Xiaochang Liu & Li Xia & Guobin Zhang & Xi Meng & Zhiyu Liu & Mo Wang & Shiqi Zhou & Zhiqiang Wu, 2024. "Understanding the global subnational migration patterns driven by hydrological intrusion exposure," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-12, December.
    9. Tong Cui & Yukun Li & Long Yang & Yi Nan & Kunbiao Li & Mahmut Tudaji & Hongchang Hu & Di Long & Muhammad Shahid & Ammara Mubeen & Zhihua He & Bin Yong & Hui Lu & Chao Li & Guangheng Ni & Chunhong Hu , 2023. "Non-monotonic changes in Asian Water Towers’ streamflow at increasing warming levels," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.
    10. Zeng, Lijun & Du, Wenjing & Zhao, Laijun & Zhan, Yanhong, 2023. "An inter-provincial transfer fee model under renewable portfolio standard policy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    11. Michel Wortmann & Doris Duethmann & Christoph Menz & Tobias Bolch & Shaochun Huang & Jiang Tong & Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz & Valentina Krysanova, 2022. "Projected climate change and its impacts on glaciers and water resources in the headwaters of the Tarim River, NW China/Kyrgyzstan," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 171(3), pages 1-24, April.
    12. Caroline Taylor & Tom R. Robinson & Stuart Dunning & J. Rachel Carr & Matthew Westoby, 2023. "Glacial lake outburst floods threaten millions globally," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    13. Kara J. Pitman & Jonathan W. Moore & Matthias Huss & Matthew R. Sloat & Diane C. Whited & Tim J. Beechie & Rich Brenner & Eran W. Hood & Alexander M. Milner & George R. Pess & Gordan H. Reeves & Danie, 2021. "Glacier retreat creating new Pacific salmon habitat in western North America," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-10, December.
    14. Carsten Bjerre Ludwigsen & Ole Baltazar Andersen & Ben Marzeion & Jan-Hendrik Malles & Hannes Müller Schmied & Petra Döll & Christopher Watson & Matt A. King, 2024. "Global and regional ocean mass budget closure since 2003," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, December.
    15. Jing Wei & Laurent Fontaine & Nicolas Valiente & Peter Dörsch & Dag O. Hessen & Alexander Eiler, 2023. "Trajectories of freshwater microbial genomics and greenhouse gas saturation upon glacial retreat," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-12, December.
    16. Bashar Bashir & Abdullah Alsalman, 2024. "Morphometric and Soil Erosion Characterization Based on Geospatial Analysis and Drainage Basin Prioritization of the Rabigh Area Along the Eastern Red Sea Coastal Plain, Saudi Arabia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(20), pages 1-26, October.
    17. J. Haacker & B. Wouters & X. Fettweis & I. A. Glissenaar & J. E. Box, 2024. "Atmospheric-river-induced foehn events drain glaciers on Novaya Zemlya," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, December.
    18. Christopher P. Loveluck & Levan G. Tielidze & Mikheil Elashvili & Andrei V. Kurbatov & Lela Gadrani & Nathaniel Erb-Satullo & Hans von Suchodoletz & Anca Dan & Hannes Laermanns & Helmut Brückner & Udo, 2024. "Rapid Climate Change, Integrated Human–Environment–Historical Records and Societal Resilience in Georgia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-24, August.
    19. Bethan Davies & Robert McNabb & Jacob Bendle & Jonathan Carrivick & Jeremy Ely & Tom Holt & Bradley Markle & Christopher McNeil & Lindsey Nicholson & Mauri Pelto, 2024. "Accelerating glacier volume loss on Juneau Icefield driven by hypsometry and melt-accelerating feedbacks," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-19, December.

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