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Future threats to biodiversity and pathways to their prevention

Author

Listed:
  • David Tilman

    (Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota
    Bren School of Environmental Science and Management, University of California)

  • Michael Clark

    (Natural Resources Science and Management, University of Minnesota)

  • David R. Williams

    (Bren School of Environmental Science and Management, University of California)

  • Kaitlin Kimmel

    (Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota)

  • Stephen Polasky

    (Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota
    University of Minnesota)

  • Craig Packer

    (Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota
    Wildlife Conservation Research Unit, University of Oxford, Recanati-Kaplan Centre
    School of Life Sciences, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Pietermaritzburg Campus)

Abstract

Tens of thousands of species are threatened with extinction as a result of human activities. Here we explore how the extinction risks of terrestrial mammals and birds might change in the next 50 years. Future population growth and economic development are forecasted to impose unprecedented levels of extinction risk on many more species worldwide, especially the large mammals of tropical Africa, Asia and South America. Yet these threats are not inevitable. Proactive international efforts to increase crop yields, minimize land clearing and habitat fragmentation, and protect natural lands could increase food security in developing nations and preserve much of Earth's remaining biodiversity.

Suggested Citation

  • David Tilman & Michael Clark & David R. Williams & Kaitlin Kimmel & Stephen Polasky & Craig Packer, 2017. "Future threats to biodiversity and pathways to their prevention," Nature, Nature, vol. 546(7656), pages 73-81, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:546:y:2017:i:7656:d:10.1038_nature22900
    DOI: 10.1038/nature22900
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