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Allowable CO2 emissions based on regional and impact-related climate targets

Author

Listed:
  • Sonia I. Seneviratne

    (Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science)

  • Markus G. Donat

    (ARC Centre of Excellence in Climate System Science, University of New South Wales
    Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales)

  • Andy J. Pitman

    (ARC Centre of Excellence in Climate System Science, University of New South Wales
    Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales)

  • Reto Knutti

    (Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science)

  • Robert L. Wilby

    (Loughborough University)

Abstract

Global temperature targets, such as the widely accepted limit of an increase above pre-industrial temperatures of two degrees Celsius, may fail to communicate the urgency of reducing carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. The translation of CO2 emissions into regional- and impact-related climate targets could be more powerful because such targets are more directly aligned with individual national interests. We illustrate this approach using regional changes in extreme temperatures and precipitation. These scale robustly with global temperature across scenarios, and thus with cumulative CO2 emissions. This is particularly relevant for changes in regional extreme temperatures on land, which are much greater than changes in the associated global mean.

Suggested Citation

  • Sonia I. Seneviratne & Markus G. Donat & Andy J. Pitman & Reto Knutti & Robert L. Wilby, 2016. "Allowable CO2 emissions based on regional and impact-related climate targets," Nature, Nature, vol. 529(7587), pages 477-483, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:529:y:2016:i:7587:d:10.1038_nature16542
    DOI: 10.1038/nature16542
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