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The geographical distribution of fossil fuels unused when limiting global warming to 2 °C

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  • Christophe McGlade

    (University College London (UCL), Institute for Sustainable Resources, Central House, 14 Upper Woburn Place, London WC1H 0NN, UK)

  • Paul Ekins

    (University College London (UCL), Institute for Sustainable Resources, Central House, 14 Upper Woburn Place, London WC1H 0NN, UK)

Abstract

To limit global warming to a rise of 2 °C compared to pre-industrial levels, we cannot use all of our fossil fuel reserves; here an integrated assessment model shows that this temperature limit implies that we must leave unused a third of our oil reserves, half of our gas reserves and over 80 per cent of our coal reserves during the next 40 years, and indicates where these are geographically located.

Suggested Citation

  • Christophe McGlade & Paul Ekins, 2015. "The geographical distribution of fossil fuels unused when limiting global warming to 2 °C," Nature, Nature, vol. 517(7533), pages 187-190, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:517:y:2015:i:7533:d:10.1038_nature14016
    DOI: 10.1038/nature14016
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