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Attributing physical and biological impacts to anthropogenic climate change

Author

Listed:
  • Cynthia Rosenzweig

    (NASA/Goddard Institute for Space Studies and Columbia Center for Climate Systems Research, 2800 Broadway, New York, New York 10025, USA)

  • David Karoly

    (School of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne)

  • Marta Vicarelli

    (NASA/Goddard Institute for Space Studies and Columbia Center for Climate Systems Research, 2800 Broadway, New York, New York 10025, USA)

  • Peter Neofotis

    (NASA/Goddard Institute for Space Studies and Columbia Center for Climate Systems Research, 2800 Broadway, New York, New York 10025, USA)

  • Qigang Wu

    (School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, 100 East Boyd Street, Norman, Oklahoma 73019, USA)

  • Gino Casassa

    (Centro de Estudios Científicos, Avenida Arturo Prat 514, Casilla 1469, Valdivia, Chile)

  • Annette Menzel

    (Center of Life and Food Sciences Weihenstephan, Technical University of Munich, Am Hochanger 13, 85 354 Freising, Germany)

  • Terry L. Root

    (Stanford University, Center for Environmental Science and Policy, Stanford, California 94305, USA)

  • Nicole Estrella

    (Center of Life and Food Sciences Weihenstephan, Technical University of Munich, Am Hochanger 13, 85 354 Freising, Germany)

  • Bernard Seguin

    (INRA Unité Agroclim, Site Agroparc, domaine Saint-Paul, F-84914 Avignon Cedex 9, France)

  • Piotr Tryjanowski

    (Institute of Environmental Biology, Adam Mickiewicz University, Umultowska 89, PL-61–614 Poznan, Poland)

  • Chunzhen Liu

    (China Water Information Center, Lane 2 Baiguang Road, Beijing 100761, China)

  • Samuel Rawlins

    (Caribbean Epidemiology Center, 16–18 Jamaica Boulevard, Federation ParkPO Box 164, Port of Spain, Trinadad and Tobago)

  • Anton Imeson

    (3D-Environmental Change, Curtiuslaan 14, 1851 AM, Heiloo, Netherlands)

Abstract

Significant changes in physical and biological systems are occurring on all continents and in most oceans, with a concentration of available data in Europe and North America. Most of these changes are in the direction expected with warming temperature. Here we show that these changes in natural systems since at least 1970 are occurring in regions of observed temperature increases, and that these temperature increases at continental scales cannot be explained by natural climate variations alone. Given the conclusions from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report that most of the observed increase in global average temperatures since the mid-twentieth century is very likely to be due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations, and furthermore that it is likely that there has been significant anthropogenic warming over the past 50 years averaged over each continent except Antarctica, we conclude that anthropogenic climate change is having a significant impact on physical and biological systems globally and in some continents.

Suggested Citation

  • Cynthia Rosenzweig & David Karoly & Marta Vicarelli & Peter Neofotis & Qigang Wu & Gino Casassa & Annette Menzel & Terry L. Root & Nicole Estrella & Bernard Seguin & Piotr Tryjanowski & Chunzhen Liu &, 2008. "Attributing physical and biological impacts to anthropogenic climate change," Nature, Nature, vol. 453(7193), pages 353-357, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:453:y:2008:i:7193:d:10.1038_nature06937
    DOI: 10.1038/nature06937
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