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The deterministic nature of earthquake rupture

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  • Erik L. Olson

    (University of Wisconsin Madison)

  • Richard M. Allen

    (University of California Berkeley)

Abstract

Earthquake initiation In the cascade model, a widely accepted explanation of earthquake initiation, slip initiates on a small fault patch and continues to rupture along a fault plane if conditions are favourable. The implications of this domino-like theory are that a small earthquake begins in the same way as a large one, and that the size of an earthquake cannot be determined until the rupture stops. Olson and Allen now suggest that processes during earthquake initiation do control the final magnitude to some degree. They find a scaling relation between the frequency content of energy radiated in the first few seconds of rupture and earthquake magnitude. Understanding the physics of this process may make it possible to predict the magnitude of earthquakes without knowing the surrounding state of stress on a fault.

Suggested Citation

  • Erik L. Olson & Richard M. Allen, 2005. "The deterministic nature of earthquake rupture," Nature, Nature, vol. 438(7065), pages 212-215, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:438:y:2005:i:7065:d:10.1038_nature04214
    DOI: 10.1038/nature04214
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    Cited by:

    1. Mohamed S. Abdalzaher & Moez Krichen & Derya Yiltas-Kaplan & Imed Ben Dhaou & Wilfried Yves Hamilton Adoni, 2023. "Early Detection of Earthquakes Using IoT and Cloud Infrastructure: A Survey," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-38, July.
    2. Mohamed S. Abdalzaher & Hussein A. Elsayed & Mostafa M. Fouda & Mahmoud M. Salim, 2023. "Employing Machine Learning and IoT for Earthquake Early Warning System in Smart Cities," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-22, January.

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