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The past as guide to the future

Author

Listed:
  • Gabriele Hegerl

    (the Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington)

Abstract

Earth's climate is getting warmer — why? The difficulty for climatologists is discriminating between human-induced changes, principally through the release of 'greenhouse gases' such as carbon dioxide, and natural climate fluctuations. A new approach to this issue employs a variety of indicators to provide annual temperature anomaly patterns over much of the world back to the year AD 1400. For all the uncertainties of such a reconstruction, when these results are compared with external influences on climate it does seem that the main effect on global temperature in the twentieth century has been from increases in greenhouse gases.

Suggested Citation

  • Gabriele Hegerl, 1998. "The past as guide to the future," Nature, Nature, vol. 392(6678), pages 758-759, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:392:y:1998:i:6678:d:10.1038_33799
    DOI: 10.1038/33799
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