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Integrated hydrological, power system and economic modelling of climate impacts on electricity demand and cost

Author

Listed:
  • Mort Webster

    (Pennsylvania State University)

  • Karen Fisher-Vanden

    (Pennsylvania State University)

  • Vijay Kumar

    (Pennsylvania State University)

  • Richard B. Lammers

    (University of New Hampshire)

  • Joseph Perla

    (Pennsylvania State University)

Abstract

Impacts of climate-related water stress and temperature changes can cascade through energy systems, although models have yet to capture this compounding of effects. Here, we employ a coupled water–power–economy model to capture these important interactions in a study of the exceedance of water temperature thresholds for power generation in the western United States. We find that not all reductions in reserve electricity-generation capacity result in impacts, and that when they occur, intermittent interruptions in electricity supply at critical times of the day, week and year account for much of the economic impacts. Finally, we find that impacts may be in different locations from the original water stress. We estimate that the consumption loss can be up to 0.3% annually and the drivers identified in coupled modelling can increase the average cost of electricity by up to 3%.

Suggested Citation

  • Mort Webster & Karen Fisher-Vanden & Vijay Kumar & Richard B. Lammers & Joseph Perla, 2022. "Integrated hydrological, power system and economic modelling of climate impacts on electricity demand and cost," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 7(2), pages 163-169, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natene:v:7:y:2022:i:2:d:10.1038_s41560-021-00958-8
    DOI: 10.1038/s41560-021-00958-8
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    Cited by:

    1. Jared C. Carbone & Linda T.M. Bui & Don Fullerton & Sergey Paltsev & Ian Sue Wing, 2022. "When and How to Use Economy-Wide Models for Environmental Policy Analysis," Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 14(1), pages 447-465, October.
    2. Garcia, Alexandre Schwinden & Alves, Frederick Fagundes & Pimentel Filgueiras, João Marcello, 2024. "Tariff flags and electricity consumption response in Brazil," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).

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