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Changes in human footprint drive changes in species extinction risk

Author

Listed:
  • Moreno Di Marco

    (The University of Queensland
    CSIRO Land & Water, EcoSciences Precinct)

  • Oscar Venter

    (University of Northern British Columbia)

  • Hugh P. Possingham

    (The University of Queensland
    The Nature Conservancy)

  • James E. M. Watson

    (The University of Queensland
    Wildlife Conservation Society)

Abstract

Predicting how species respond to human pressure is essential to anticipate their decline and identify appropriate conservation strategies. Both human pressure and extinction risk change over time, but their inter-relationship is rarely considered in extinction risk modelling. Here we measure the relationship between the change in terrestrial human footprint (HFP)—representing cumulative human pressure on the environment—and the change in extinction risk of the world’s terrestrial mammals. We find the values of HFP across space, and its change over time, are significantly correlated to trends in species extinction risk, with higher predictive importance than environmental or life-history variables. The anthropogenic conversion of areas with low pressure values (HFP

Suggested Citation

  • Moreno Di Marco & Oscar Venter & Hugh P. Possingham & James E. M. Watson, 2018. "Changes in human footprint drive changes in species extinction risk," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 9(1), pages 1-9, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:9:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-018-07049-5
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-07049-5
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    Cited by:

    1. Cepic, Michael & Bechtold, Ulrike & Wilfing, Harald, 2022. "Modelling human influences on biodiversity at a global scale–A human ecology perspective," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 465(C).
    2. Shan Huang & Stewart M. Edie & Katie S. Collins & Nicholas M. A. Crouch & Kaustuv Roy & David Jablonski, 2023. "Diversity, distribution and intrinsic extinction vulnerability of exploited marine bivalves," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-12, December.

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