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Identifying long-term stable refugia for relict plant species in East Asia

Author

Listed:
  • Cindy Q. Tang

    (Yunnan University)

  • Tetsuya Matsui

    (Forest Research and Management Organization)

  • Haruka Ohashi

    (Forest Research and Management Organization)

  • Yi-Fei Dong

    (Yunnan University)

  • Arata Momohara

    (Chiba University)

  • Sonia Herrando-Moraira

    (Botanic Institute of Barcelona (IBB, CSIC-ICUB))

  • Shenhua Qian

    (Chongqing University)

  • Yongchuan Yang

    (Chongqing University)

  • Masahiko Ohsawa

    (The Nature Conservancy Society of Japan)

  • Hong Truong Luu

    (Vietnam Academy of Science and Technology)

  • Paul J. Grote

    (Nakhon Ratchasima Rajabhat University)

  • Pavel V. Krestov

    (Botanical Garden-Institute FEB RAS)

  • LePage

    (Pacific Gas and Electric Company
    The Academy of Natural Science)

  • Marinus Werger

    (Utrecht University)

  • Kevin Robertson

    (Tall Timbers Research Station and Land Conservancy)

  • Carsten Hobohm

    (University of Flensburg)

  • Chong-Yun Wang

    (Yunnan University)

  • Ming-Chun Peng

    (Yunnan University)

  • Xi Chen

    (Yunnan University)

  • Huan-Chong Wang

    (Yunnan University)

  • Wen-Hua Su

    (Yunnan University)

  • Rui Zhou

    (Yunnan University)

  • Shuaifeng Li

    (Chinese Academy of Forestry)

  • Long-Yuan He

    (The State Forestry Administration of China)

  • Kai Yan

    (Kunming Institute of Botany-CAS)

  • Ming-Yuan Zhu

    (Kunming Institute of Botany-CAS)

  • Jun Hu

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Ruo-Han Yang

    (Kunming Agrometeorological Station of Yunnan Province)

  • Wang-Jun Li

    (Guizhou University of Engineering Science)

  • Mizuki Tomita

    (Tokyo University of Information Sciences)

  • Zhao-Lu Wu

    (Yunnan University)

  • Hai-Zhong Yan

    (Yunnan University)

  • Guang-Fei Zhang

    (Yunnan University)

  • Hai He

    (Chongqing Normal University)

  • Si-Rong Yi

    (Chongqing Three Gorges Medical College)

  • Hede Gong

    (Southwest China Forestry University)

  • Kun Song

    (East China Normal University)

  • Ding Song

    (Kunming University of Science and Technology)

  • Xiao-Shuang Li

    (Yunnan Academy of Forestry)

  • Zhi-Ying Zhang

    (Yunnan University)

  • Peng-Bin Han

    (Yunnan University)

  • Li-Qin Shen

    (Yunnan University)

  • Diao-Shun Huang

    (Yunnan University)

  • Kang Luo

    (National Forest Ecosystem Research Station at Ailaoshan)

  • Jordi López-Pujol

    (Botanic Institute of Barcelona (IBB, CSIC-ICUB))

Abstract

Today East Asia harbors many “relict” plant species whose ranges were much larger during the Paleogene-Neogene and earlier. The ecological and climatic conditions suitable for these relict species have not been identified. Here, we map the abundance and distribution patterns of relict species, showing high abundance in the humid subtropical/warm-temperate forest regions. We further use Ecological Niche Modeling to show that these patterns align with maps of climate refugia, and we predict species’ chances of persistence given the future climatic changes expected for East Asia. By 2070, potentially suitable areas with high richness of relict species will decrease, although the areas as a whole will probably expand. We identify areas in southwestern China and northern Vietnam as long-term climatically stable refugia likely to preserve ancient lineages, highlighting areas that could be prioritized for conservation of such species.

Suggested Citation

  • Cindy Q. Tang & Tetsuya Matsui & Haruka Ohashi & Yi-Fei Dong & Arata Momohara & Sonia Herrando-Moraira & Shenhua Qian & Yongchuan Yang & Masahiko Ohsawa & Hong Truong Luu & Paul J. Grote & Pavel V. Kr, 2018. "Identifying long-term stable refugia for relict plant species in East Asia," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 9(1), pages 1-14, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:9:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-018-06837-3
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-06837-3
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    Cited by:

    1. Chunrong Mi & Liang Ma & Mengyuan Yang & Xinhai Li & Shai Meiri & Uri Roll & Oleksandra Oskyrko & Daniel Pincheira-Donoso & Lilly P. Harvey & Daniel Jablonski & Barbod Safaei-Mahroo & Hanyeh Ghaffari , 2023. "Global Protected Areas as refuges for amphibians and reptiles under climate change," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    2. Hong Qian, 2024. "Reassessing data quality underlying the recently updated floristic map of the world," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-3, December.

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