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See–saw relationship of the Holocene East Asian–Australian summer monsoon

Author

Listed:
  • Deniz Eroglu

    (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
    Humboldt University)

  • Fiona H. McRobie

    (School of Earth and Environment, The University of Western Australia)

  • Ibrahim Ozken

    (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
    Ege University)

  • Thomas Stemler

    (School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Western Australia)

  • Karl-Heinz Wyrwoll

    (School of Earth and Environment, The University of Western Australia)

  • Sebastian F. M. Breitenbach

    (Sediment- and Isotope Geology, Institute for Geology, Mineralogy & Geophysics, Ruhr-Universität Bochum)

  • Norbert Marwan

    (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK))

  • Jürgen Kurths

    (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
    Humboldt University
    Institute for Complex Systems and Mathematical Biology, University of Aberdeen)

Abstract

The East Asian–Indonesian–Australian summer monsoon (EAIASM) links the Earth’s hemispheres and provides a heat source that drives global circulation. At seasonal and inter-seasonal timescales, the summer monsoon of one hemisphere is linked via outflows from the winter monsoon of the opposing hemisphere. Long-term phase relationships between the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) and the Indonesian–Australian summer monsoon (IASM) are poorly understood, raising questions of long-term adjustments to future greenhouse-triggered climate change and whether these changes could ‘lock in’ possible IASM and EASM phase relationships in a region dependent on monsoonal rainfall. Here we show that a newly developed nonlinear time series analysis technique allows confident identification of strong versus weak monsoon phases at millennial to sub-centennial timescales. We find a see–saw relationship over the last 9,000 years—with strong and weak monsoons opposingly phased and triggered by solar variations. Our results provide insights into centennial- to millennial-scale relationships within the wider EAIASM regime.

Suggested Citation

  • Deniz Eroglu & Fiona H. McRobie & Ibrahim Ozken & Thomas Stemler & Karl-Heinz Wyrwoll & Sebastian F. M. Breitenbach & Norbert Marwan & Jürgen Kurths, 2016. "See–saw relationship of the Holocene East Asian–Australian summer monsoon," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 7(1), pages 1-7, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:7:y:2016:i:1:d:10.1038_ncomms12929
    DOI: 10.1038/ncomms12929
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    Cited by:

    1. Li Gong & Ann Holbourn & Wolfgang Kuhnt & Bradley Opdyke & Yan Zhang & Ana Christina Ravelo & Peng Zhang & Jian Xu & Kenji Matsuzaki & Ivano Aiello & Sebastian Beil & Nils Andersen, 2023. "Middle Pleistocene re-organization of Australian Monsoon," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-14, December.
    2. Noriyoshi Sukegawa & Shohei Suzuki & Yoshiko Ikebe & Yoshito Hirata, 2024. "On Computing Medians of Marked Point Process Data Under Edit Distance," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 200(1), pages 178-193, January.

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