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Persistence of pressure patterns over North America and the North Pacific since AD 1500

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  • Erika K. Wise

    (University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill)

  • Matthew P. Dannenberg

    (University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill)

Abstract

Changes in moisture delivery to western North America are largely controlled by interrelated, synoptic-scale atmospheric pressure patterns. Long-term records of upper-atmosphere pressure and related circulation patterns are needed to assess potential drivers of past severe droughts and evaluate how future climate changes may impact hydroclimatic systems. Here we develop a tree-ring-based climate field reconstruction of cool-season 500 hPa geopotential height on a 2° × 2° grid over North America and the North Pacific to AD 1500 and examine the frequency and persistence of preinstrumental atmospheric pressure patterns using Self-Organizing Maps. Our results show extended time periods dominated by a set of persistent upper-air pressure patterns, providing insight into the atmospheric conditions leading to periods of sustained drought and pluvial periods in the preinstrumental past. A striking shift from meridional to zonal flow occurred at the end of the Little Ice Age and was sustained for several decades.

Suggested Citation

  • Erika K. Wise & Matthew P. Dannenberg, 2014. "Persistence of pressure patterns over North America and the North Pacific since AD 1500," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 5(1), pages 1-6, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:5:y:2014:i:1:d:10.1038_ncomms5912
    DOI: 10.1038/ncomms5912
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