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Comparative effectiveness of alternative intervals between first and second doses of the mRNA COVID-19 vaccines

Author

Listed:
  • Kayoko Shioda

    (Boston University
    Boston University Center on Emerging Infectious Diseases)

  • Alexander Breskin

    (Regeneron Pharmaceuticals
    University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill)

  • Pravara Harati

    (Georgia Department of Public Health)

  • Allison T. Chamberlain

    (Emory University)

  • Toshiaki Komura

    (Boston University)

  • Benjamin A. Lopman

    (Emory University)

  • Elizabeth T. Rogawski McQuade

    (Emory University)

Abstract

The optimal interval between the first and second doses of COVID-19 mRNA vaccines has not been thoroughly evaluated. Employing a target trial emulation approach, we compared the effectiveness of different interdose intervals among >6 million mRNA vaccine recipients in Georgia, USA, from December 2020 to March 2022. We compared three protocols defined by interdose interval: recommended by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) (17-25 days for Pfizer-BioNTech; 24-32 days for Moderna), late-but-allowable (26-42 days for Pfizer-BioNTech; 33-49 days for Moderna), and late ( ≥ 43 days for Pfizer-BioNTech; ≥50 days for Moderna). In the short-term, the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection was lowest under the FDA-recommended protocol. Longer-term, the late-but-allowable protocol resulted in the lowest risk (risk ratio on Day 120 after the first dose administration compared to the FDA-recommended protocol: 0.83 [95% confidence interval: 0.82-0.84]). Here, we showed that delaying the second dose by 1-2 weeks may provide stronger long-term protection.

Suggested Citation

  • Kayoko Shioda & Alexander Breskin & Pravara Harati & Allison T. Chamberlain & Toshiaki Komura & Benjamin A. Lopman & Elizabeth T. Rogawski McQuade, 2024. "Comparative effectiveness of alternative intervals between first and second doses of the mRNA COVID-19 vaccines," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-9, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:15:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-024-45334-8
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-45334-8
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