IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v12y2021i1d10.1038_s41467-021-27292-7.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Changes in notifiable infectious disease incidence in China during the COVID-19 pandemic

Author

Listed:
  • Meng-Jie Geng

    (Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention)

  • Hai-Yang Zhang

    (Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology
    Center for Disease Control and Prevention of Central Theater Command, Shijingshan District)

  • Lin-Jie Yu

    (Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology)

  • Chen-Long Lv

    (Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology)

  • Tao Wang

    (Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology)

  • Tian-Le Che

    (Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology)

  • Qiang Xu

    (Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology)

  • Bao-Gui Jiang

    (Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology)

  • Jin-Jin Chen

    (Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology)

  • Simon I. Hay

    (University of Washington
    University of Washington)

  • Zhong-Jie Li

    (Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention)

  • George F. Gao

    (Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention)

  • Li-Ping Wang

    (Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention)

  • Yang Yang

    (College of Public Health and Health Professions, and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida)

  • Li-Qun Fang

    (Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology)

  • Wei Liu

    (Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology)

Abstract

Nationwide nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) have been effective at mitigating the spread of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19), but their broad impact on other diseases remains under-investigated. Here we report an ecological analysis comparing the incidence of 31 major notifiable infectious diseases in China in 2020 to the average level during 2014-2019, controlling for temporal phases defined by NPI intensity levels. Respiratory diseases and gastrointestinal or enteroviral diseases declined more than sexually transmitted or bloodborne diseases and vector-borne or zoonotic diseases. Early pandemic phases with more stringent NPIs were associated with greater reductions in disease incidence. Non-respiratory diseases, such as hand, foot and mouth disease, rebounded substantially towards the end of the year 2020 as the NPIs were relaxed. Statistical modeling analyses confirm that strong NPIs were associated with a broad mitigation effect on communicable diseases, but resurgence of non-respiratory diseases should be expected when the NPIs, especially restrictions of human movement and gathering, become less stringent.

Suggested Citation

  • Meng-Jie Geng & Hai-Yang Zhang & Lin-Jie Yu & Chen-Long Lv & Tao Wang & Tian-Le Che & Qiang Xu & Bao-Gui Jiang & Jin-Jin Chen & Simon I. Hay & Zhong-Jie Li & George F. Gao & Li-Ping Wang & Yang Yang &, 2021. "Changes in notifiable infectious disease incidence in China during the COVID-19 pandemic," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-11, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:12:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-021-27292-7
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-27292-7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-27292-7
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-021-27292-7?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Kangguo Li & Jia Rui & Wentao Song & Li Luo & Yunkang Zhao & Huimin Qu & Hong Liu & Hongjie Wei & Ruixin Zhang & Buasiyamu Abudunaibi & Yao Wang & Zecheng Zhou & Tianxin Xiang & Tianmu Chen, 2024. "Temporal shifts in 24 notifiable infectious diseases in China before and during the COVID-19 pandemic," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-14, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:12:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-021-27292-7. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.