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Climate warming promotes pesticide resistance through expanding overwintering range of a global pest

Author

Listed:
  • Chun-Sen Ma

    (Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences
    College of Plant Protection, Shanxi Agricultural University)

  • Wei Zhang

    (Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences)

  • Yu Peng

    (Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences)

  • Fei Zhao

    (Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences
    College of Plant Protection, Shanxi Agricultural University)

  • Xiang-Qian Chang

    (Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences
    Institute of Plant Protection & Soil Science, Hubei Academy of Agricultural Sciences)

  • Kun Xing

    (Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences
    College of Plant Protection, Shanxi Agricultural University)

  • Liang Zhu

    (Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences)

  • Gang Ma

    (Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences)

  • He-Ping Yang

    (National Meteorological Information Centre)

  • Volker H. W. Rudolf

    (BioSciences, Rice University)

Abstract

Climate change has the potential to change the distribution of pests globally and their resistance to pesticides, thereby threatening global food security in the 21st century. However, predicting where these changes occur and how they will influence current pest control efforts is a challenge. Using experimentally parameterised and field-tested models, we show that climate change over the past 50 years increased the overwintering range of a global agricultural insect pest, the diamondback moth (Plutella xylostella), by ~2.4 million km2 worldwide. Our analysis of global data sets revealed that pesticide resistance levels are linked to the species’ overwintering range: mean pesticide resistance was 158 times higher in overwintering sites compared to sites with only seasonal occurrence. By facilitating local persistence all year round, climate change can promote and expand pesticide resistance of this destructive species globally. These ecological and evolutionary changes would severely impede effectiveness of current pest control efforts and potentially cause large economic losses.

Suggested Citation

  • Chun-Sen Ma & Wei Zhang & Yu Peng & Fei Zhao & Xiang-Qian Chang & Kun Xing & Liang Zhu & Gang Ma & He-Ping Yang & Volker H. W. Rudolf, 2021. "Climate warming promotes pesticide resistance through expanding overwintering range of a global pest," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-10, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:12:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-021-25505-7
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-25505-7
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    Cited by:

    1. Rahman, Md Mamunur & Nguyen, Ruby & Lu, Liang, 2022. "Multi-level impacts of climate change and supply disruption events on a potato supply chain: An agent-based modeling approach," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    2. Friederike M. C. Benning & Simon Jenni & Coby Y. Garcia & Tran H. Nguyen & Xuewu Zhang & Luke H. Chao, 2024. "Helical reconstruction of VP39 reveals principles for baculovirus nucleocapsid assembly," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-14, December.
    3. Haowei Ni & Han Hu & Constantin M. Zohner & Weigen Huang & Ji Chen & Yishen Sun & Jixian Ding & Jizhong Zhou & Xiaoyuan Yan & Jiabao Zhang & Yuting Liang & Thomas W. Crowther, 2024. "Effects of winter soil warming on crop biomass carbon loss from organic matter degradation," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.

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