IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v12y2021i1d10.1038_s41467-021-23865-8.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Effect of specific non-pharmaceutical intervention policies on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the counties of the United States

Author

Listed:
  • Bingyi Yang

    (University of Florida
    Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida)

  • Angkana T. Huang

    (University of Florida
    Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida)

  • Bernardo Garcia-Carreras

    (University of Florida
    Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida)

  • William E. Hart

    (Sandia National Laboratories)

  • Andrea Staid

    (Sandia National Laboratories)

  • Matt D. T. Hitchings

    (University of Florida
    Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida)

  • Elizabeth C. Lee

    (Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health)

  • Chanelle J. Howe

    (Brown University School of Public Health)

  • Kyra H. Grantz

    (Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health)

  • Amy Wesolowksi

    (Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health)

  • Joseph Chadi Lemaitre

    (École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne)

  • Susan Rattigan

    (University of Florida
    Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida)

  • Carlos Moreno

    (University of Florida
    Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida)

  • Brooke A. Borgert

    (University of Florida
    Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida)

  • Celeste Dale

    (University of Florida)

  • Nicole Quigley

    (University of Florida)

  • Andrew Cummings

    (Syracuse University)

  • Alizée McLorg

    (Syracuse University)

  • Kaelene LoMonaco

    (University of Florida)

  • Sarah Schlossberg

    (Tulane University)

  • Drew Barron-Kraus

    (University of Florida)

  • Harrison Shrock

    (University of Florida)

  • Justin Lessler

    (Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health)

  • Carl D. Laird

    (Sandia National Laboratories)

  • Derek A. T. Cummings

    (University of Florida
    Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida)

Abstract

Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) remain the only widely available tool for controlling the ongoing SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. We estimated weekly values of the effective basic reproductive number (Reff) using a mechanistic metapopulation model and associated these with county-level characteristics and NPIs in the United States (US). Interventions that included school and leisure activities closure and nursing home visiting bans were all associated with a median Reff below 1 when combined with either stay at home orders (median Reff 0.97, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.58–1.39) or face masks (median Reff 0.97, 95% CI 0.58–1.39). While direct causal effects of interventions remain unclear, our results suggest that relaxation of some NPIs will need to be counterbalanced by continuation and/or implementation of others.

Suggested Citation

  • Bingyi Yang & Angkana T. Huang & Bernardo Garcia-Carreras & William E. Hart & Andrea Staid & Matt D. T. Hitchings & Elizabeth C. Lee & Chanelle J. Howe & Kyra H. Grantz & Amy Wesolowksi & Joseph Chadi, 2021. "Effect of specific non-pharmaceutical intervention policies on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the counties of the United States," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-10, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:12:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-021-23865-8
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-23865-8
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-23865-8
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-021-23865-8?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Virat Agrawal & Jonathan H. Cantor & Neeraj Sood & Christopher M. Whaley, 2021. "The Impact of the COVID-19 Vaccine Distribution on Mental Health Outcomes," NBER Working Papers 29593, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:12:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-021-23865-8. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.