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The effect of generic market entry on antibiotic prescriptions in the United States

Author

Listed:
  • Cecilia Kållberg

    (University of Oslo
    Norwegian Institute of Public Health)

  • Jemma Hudson

    (University of Aberdeen)

  • Hege Salvesen Blix

    (Norwegian Institute of Public Health
    University of Oslo)

  • Christine Årdal

    (Norwegian Institute of Public Health)

  • Eili Klein

    (Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics and Policy
    Johns Hopkins School of Medicine
    Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health)

  • Morten Lindbæk

    (University of Oslo)

  • Kevin Outterson

    (Boston University
    CARB-X)

  • John-Arne Røttingen

    (University of Oslo
    Norwegian Institute of Public Health
    The Research Council of Norway)

  • Ramanan Laxminarayan

    (Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics and Policy
    Princeton University)

Abstract

When patented, brand-name antibiotics lose market exclusivity, generics typically enter the market at lower prices, which may increase consumption of the drug. To examine the effect of generic market entry on antibiotic consumption in the United States, we conducted an interrupted time series analysis of the change in the number of prescriptions per month for antibiotics for which at least one generic entered the US market between 2000 and 2012. Data were acquired from the IQVIA Xponent database. Thirteen antibiotics were analyzed. Here, we show that one year after generic entry, the number of prescriptions increased for five antibiotics (5 to 406%)—aztreonam, cefpodoxime, ciprofloxacin, levofloxacin, ofloxacin—and decreased for one drug: cefdinir. These changes were sustained two years after. Cefprozil, cefuroxime axetil and clarithromycin had significant increases in trend, but no significant level changes. No consistent pattern for antibiotic use following generic entry in the United States was observed.

Suggested Citation

  • Cecilia Kållberg & Jemma Hudson & Hege Salvesen Blix & Christine Årdal & Eili Klein & Morten Lindbæk & Kevin Outterson & John-Arne Røttingen & Ramanan Laxminarayan, 2021. "The effect of generic market entry on antibiotic prescriptions in the United States," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-9, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:12:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-021-23049-4
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-23049-4
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