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Global connections between El Nino and landslide impacts

Author

Listed:
  • Robert Emberson

    (NASA Goddard Space Flight Center
    Universities Space Research Association
    Goddard Earth Sciences Technology and Research)

  • Dalia Kirschbaum

    (NASA Goddard Space Flight Center)

  • Thomas Stanley

    (NASA Goddard Space Flight Center
    Universities Space Research Association
    Goddard Earth Sciences Technology and Research)

Abstract

El Nino is a critical part of global inter-annual climate variability, and the intensity of El Nino has major implications for rainfall-induced natural hazards in many vulnerable countries. The impact of landslides triggered by rainfall is likely to be modulated by the strength of El Nino, but the nature of this connection and the places where it is most relevant remains unconstrained. Here we combine new satellite rainfall data with a global landslide exposure model to show that El Nino has far-reaching effects on landslide impacts to people and infrastructure. We find that the impact of El Nino on landslide exposure can be greater in parts of Southeast Asia and Latin America than that due to seasonal rainfall variability. These findings improve our understanding of hazard variability around the world and can assist disaster mitigation efforts on seasonal timescales.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert Emberson & Dalia Kirschbaum & Thomas Stanley, 2021. "Global connections between El Nino and landslide impacts," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-11, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:12:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-021-22398-4
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-22398-4
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    Cited by:

    1. Ahmed M. Youssef & Bosy A. El‑Haddad & Hariklia D. Skilodimou & George D. Bathrellos & Foroogh Golkar & Hamid Reza Pourghasemi, 2024. "Landslide susceptibility, ensemble machine learning, and accuracy methods in the southern Sinai Peninsula, Egypt: Assessment and Mapping," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(15), pages 14227-14258, December.

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