IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v11y2020i1d10.1038_s41467-020-16273-x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Reversal of the seasonality of temperature-attributable mortality from respiratory diseases in Spain

Author

Listed:
  • Hicham Achebak

    (Autonomous University of Barcelona (UAB)
    Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal))

  • Daniel Devolder

    (Autonomous University of Barcelona (UAB))

  • Vijendra Ingole

    (Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal))

  • Joan Ballester

    (Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal))

Abstract

A growing number of epidemiological studies have recently assessed temporal variations in vulnerability and/or mortality attributable to hot and cold temperatures. However, the eventual changes in the seasonal distribution of temperature-attributable mortality remain unexplored. Here, we analyse countrywide daily time-series of temperature and mortality counts from respiratory diseases by sex, age group and province of residence during the period 1980–2016 in Spain. We show the complete reversal of the seasonality of temperature-attributable mortality, with a significant shift of the maximum monthly incidence from winter to summer, and the minimum monthly incidence from early and late summer to winter. The reversal in the seasonal distribution of the attributable deaths is not driven by the observed warming in both winter and summer temperatures, but rather by the very large decrease in the risk of death due to cold temperatures and the relatively much smaller reduction due to hot temperatures. We conclude that the projected decrease in the number of moderate and extreme cold days due to climate warming will not contribute to a further reduction of cold-attributable respiratory deaths.

Suggested Citation

  • Hicham Achebak & Daniel Devolder & Vijendra Ingole & Joan Ballester, 2020. "Reversal of the seasonality of temperature-attributable mortality from respiratory diseases in Spain," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-9, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:11:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-020-16273-x
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-16273-x
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-16273-x
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-020-16273-x?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Chun-Liang Zhou & Ling-Shuang Lv & Dong-Hui Jin & Yi-Jun Xie & Wen-Jun Ma & Jian-Xiong Hu & Chun-E Wang & Yi-Qing Xu & Xing-E Zhang & Chan Lu, 2022. "Temperature Change between Neighboring Days Contributes to Years of Life Lost per Death from Respiratory Disease: A Multicounty Analysis in Central China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(10), pages 1-10, May.
    2. Iago Turba Costa & Cassio Arthur Wollmann & João Paulo Assis Gobo & Priscilla Venâncio Ikefuti & Salman Shooshtarian & Andreas Matzarakis, 2021. "Extreme Weather Conditions and Cardiovascular Hospitalizations in Southern Brazil," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-17, November.
    3. Risto Conte Keivabu, 2022. "Extreme Temperature and Mortality by Educational Attainment in Spain, 2012–2018," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 38(5), pages 1145-1182, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:11:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-020-16273-x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.