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International migration and climate adaptation in an era of hardening borders

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  • Robert McLeman

    (Wilfrid Laurier University)

Abstract

Climate change will almost certainly generate higher rates of migration and displacement within low-income countries, but will it also generate more international migration? This depends on the receptiveness of destination countries, many of which are currently restricting immigration, criminalizing asylum seekers and using emergent technologies to tighten borders. Should these trends persist, migration to higher-income countries will decline, trapping people in deteriorating situations and reducing adaptive capacity in low-income countries. The United Nations Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration provides an alternative pathway for international migration that builds capacity and sustainability for a climate-disrupted future. The implications of current trends for migrants, policymakers and researchers are detailed in this Perspective.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert McLeman, 2019. "International migration and climate adaptation in an era of hardening borders," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 9(12), pages 911-918, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:9:y:2019:i:12:d:10.1038_s41558-019-0634-2
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0634-2
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    Cited by:

    1. Gabriel Bachner & Daniel Lincke & Jochen Hinkel, 2022. "The macroeconomic effects of adapting to high-end sea-level rise via protection and migration," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-13, December.
    2. Alessandra F. Lütz & Marco A. Amaral & Lucas Wardil, 2021. "Acculturation and the evolution of cooperation in spatial public goods games," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 94(11), pages 1-11, November.
    3. Andrea Cinque & Lennart Reiners, 2022. "Confined to Stay: Natural Disasters and Indonesia's Migration Ban," CESifo Working Paper Series 9837, CESifo.
    4. Hege H. Bye & Hui Yu & Jennie Sofia Portice & Charles A. Ogunbode, 2023. "Interactions between migrant race and social status in predicting acceptance of climate migrants in Norway," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(4), pages 1-16, April.
    5. Robert McLeman & David Wrathall & Elisabeth Gilmore & Philip Thornton & Helen Adams & François Gemenne, 2021. "Conceptual framing to link climate risk assessments and climate-migration scholarship," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 165(1), pages 1-7, March.
    6. Goyette, Jonathan & Smaoui, Maroua, 2022. "Low agricultural potential exacerbates the effect of temperature on civil conflicts," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    7. Kerstin K. Zander & Hunter S. Baggen & Stephen T. Garnett, 2023. "Topic modelling the mobility response to heat and drought," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(4), pages 1-20, April.
    8. Jona Huber & Ignacio Madurga-Lopez & Una Murray & Peter C. McKeown & Grazia Pacillo & Peter Laderach & Charles Spillane, 2023. "Climate-related migration and the climate-security-migration nexus in the Central American Dry Corridor," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(6), pages 1-22, June.
    9. Lesly Cassin & Aurélie Méjean & Stéphane Zuber, 2023. "Go where the wind does not blow: Climate damages heterogeneity and future migrations," Working Papers 2023.02, FAERE - French Association of Environmental and Resource Economists.
    10. Alessandro Cantelmo & Nikos Fatouros & Giovanni Melina & Chris Papageorgiou, 2024. "Monetary Policy Under Natural Disaster Shocks," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 65(3), pages 1441-1497, August.
    11. Sarah M. Munoz, 2021. "Environmental Mobility in a Polarized World: Questioning the Pertinence of the “Climate Refugee” Label for Pacific Islanders," Journal of International Migration and Integration, Springer, vol. 22(4), pages 1271-1284, December.
    12. Myers, Emily & Sacks, Audrey & Tellez, Juan F. & Wibbels, Erik, 2024. "Forced displacement, social cohesion, and the state: Evidence from eight new studies," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    13. Michele Ronco & José María Tárraga & Jordi Muñoz & María Piles & Eva Sevillano Marco & Qiang Wang & Maria Teresa Miranda Espinosa & Sylvain Ponserre & Gustau Camps-Valls, 2023. "Exploring interactions between socioeconomic context and natural hazards on human population displacement," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.

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