Author
Listed:
- Stephanie Roe
(University of Virginia
Climate Focus)
- Charlotte Streck
(Climate Focus)
- Michael Obersteiner
(International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis)
- Stefan Frank
(International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis)
- Bronson Griscom
(The Nature Conservancy)
- Laurent Drouet
(RFF-CMCC European Institute on Economics and the Environment (EIEE))
- Oliver Fricko
(International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis)
- Mykola Gusti
(International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis)
- Nancy Harris
(World Resources Institute)
- Tomoko Hasegawa
(National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES))
- Zeke Hausfather
(University of California Berkeley)
- Petr Havlík
(International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis)
- Jo House
(University of Bristol)
- Gert-Jan Nabuurs
(Wageningen University and Research
Wageningen University)
- Alexander Popp
(Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK))
- María José Sanz Sánchez
(University of the Basque Country)
- Jonathan Sanderman
(Woods Hole Research Center)
- Pete Smith
(University of Aberdeen)
- Elke Stehfest
(PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency)
- Deborah Lawrence
(University of Virginia)
Abstract
The Paris Agreement introduced an ambitious goal of limiting warming to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels. Here we combine a review of modelled pathways and literature on mitigation strategies, and develop a land-sector roadmap of priority measures and regions that can help to achieve the 1.5 °C temperature goal. Transforming the land sector and deploying measures in agriculture, forestry, wetlands and bioenergy could feasibly and sustainably contribute about 30%, or 15 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (GtCO2e) per year, of the global mitigation needed in 2050 to deliver on the 1.5 °C target, but it will require substantially more effort than the 2 °C target. Risks and barriers must be addressed and incentives will be necessary to scale up mitigation while maximizing sustainable development, food security and environmental co-benefits.
Suggested Citation
Stephanie Roe & Charlotte Streck & Michael Obersteiner & Stefan Frank & Bronson Griscom & Laurent Drouet & Oliver Fricko & Mykola Gusti & Nancy Harris & Tomoko Hasegawa & Zeke Hausfather & Petr Havlík, 2019.
"Contribution of the land sector to a 1.5 °C world,"
Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 9(11), pages 817-828, November.
Handle:
RePEc:nat:natcli:v:9:y:2019:i:11:d:10.1038_s41558-019-0591-9
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0591-9
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