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Challenges and opportunities for improved understanding of regional climate dynamics

Author

Listed:
  • Matthew Collins

    (University of Exeter)

  • Shoshiro Minobe

    (Hokkaido University)

  • Marcelo Barreiro

    (Facultad de Ciencias — Universidad de la República)

  • Simona Bordoni

    (California Institute of Technology)

  • Yohai Kaspi

    (Weizmann Institute of Science)

  • Akira Kuwano-Yoshida

    (Kyoto University)

  • Noel Keenlyside

    (University of Bergen and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research)

  • Elisa Manzini

    (Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie)

  • Christopher H. O’Reilly

    (University of Oxford)

  • Rowan Sutton

    (University of Reading)

  • Shang-Ping Xie

    (University of California San Diego)

  • Olga Zolina

    (L’Université Grenoble Alpes
    Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, RAS)

Abstract

Dynamical processes in the atmosphere and ocean are central to determining the large-scale drivers of regional climate change, yet their predictive understanding is poor. Here, we identify three frontline challenges in climate dynamics where significant progress can be made to inform adaptation: response of storms, blocks and jet streams to external forcing; basin-to-basin and tropical–extratropical teleconnections; and the development of non-linear predictive theory. We highlight opportunities and techniques for making immediate progress in these areas, which critically involve the development of high-resolution coupled model simulations, partial coupling or pacemaker experiments, as well as the development and use of dynamical metrics and exploitation of hierarchies of models.

Suggested Citation

  • Matthew Collins & Shoshiro Minobe & Marcelo Barreiro & Simona Bordoni & Yohai Kaspi & Akira Kuwano-Yoshida & Noel Keenlyside & Elisa Manzini & Christopher H. O’Reilly & Rowan Sutton & Shang-Ping Xie &, 2018. "Challenges and opportunities for improved understanding of regional climate dynamics," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(2), pages 101-108, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:8:y:2018:i:2:d:10.1038_s41558-017-0059-8
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-017-0059-8
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