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Climate negotiators’ and scientists’ assessments of the climate negotiations

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Listed:
  • Astrid Dannenberg

    (University of Kassel
    University of Gothenburg)

  • Sonja Zitzelsberger

    (University of Kassel)

  • Alessandro Tavoni

    (Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London School of Economics)

Abstract

Climate negotiation outcomes are difficult to evaluate objectively because there are no clear reference scenarios. Subjective assessments from those directly involved in the negotiations are particularly important, as this may influence strategy and future negotiation participation. Here we analyse the perceived success of the climate negotiations in a sample of 656 experts involved in international climate policy. Respondents were pessimistic when asked for specific assessments of the current approach centred on voluntary pledges, but were more optimistic when asked for general assessments of the outcomes and usefulness of the climate negotiations. Individuals who were more involved in the negotiation process tended to be more optimistic, especially in terms of general assessments. Our results indicate that two reinforcing effects are at work: a high degree of involvement changes individuals’ perceptions and more optimistic individuals are more inclined to remain involved in the negotiations.

Suggested Citation

  • Astrid Dannenberg & Sonja Zitzelsberger & Alessandro Tavoni, 2017. "Climate negotiators’ and scientists’ assessments of the climate negotiations," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 7(6), pages 437-442, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:7:y:2017:i:6:d:10.1038_nclimate3288
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3288
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    Cited by:

    1. Goeschl, Timo & Soldà, Alice, 2024. "(Un)Trustworthy pledges and cooperation in social dilemmas," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 223(C), pages 106-119.
    2. Gsottbauer, Elisabeth & Kirchler, Michael & König-Kersting, Christian, 2024. "Financial professionals and climate experts have diverging perspectives on climate action," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 122590, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Frikk Nesje & Robert C. Schmidt & Moritz A. Drupp & Robert Christian Schmidt, 2024. "Designing Carbon Pricing Policies Across the Globe," CESifo Working Paper Series 11424, CESifo.
    4. Baranski, Andrzej & Kim, Duk Gyoo, 2024. "Sharing the burden of negative externalities: A tale of gridlock and accountability elusion," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).

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