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Emergent constraints on projections of declining primary production in the tropical oceans

Author

Listed:
  • Lester Kwiatkowski

    (Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement (LSCE), IPSL, CEA/CNRS/UVSQ)

  • Laurent Bopp

    (Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement (LSCE), IPSL, CEA/CNRS/UVSQ
    Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique (LMD), IPSL, CNRS/Ecole Normale Supérieure/Ecole Polytechnique/UPMC)

  • Olivier Aumont

    (Laboratoire d’Océanographie et de Climatologie: Expérimentation et Approches Numériques (LOCEAN), IPSL, CNRS/UPMC/IRD/MNHN)

  • Philippe Ciais

    (Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement (LSCE), IPSL, CEA/CNRS/UVSQ)

  • Peter M. Cox

    (College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter)

  • Charlotte Laufkötter

    (NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton University)

  • Yue Li

    (Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University)

  • Roland Séférian

    (Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques (CNRM), Météo-France/CNRS)

Abstract

Emergent constraints on tropical marine primary production increase confidence in a long-term decrease in primary productivity in response to rising sea surface temperatures. The most extreme projected declines in productivity are, however, unlikely.

Suggested Citation

  • Lester Kwiatkowski & Laurent Bopp & Olivier Aumont & Philippe Ciais & Peter M. Cox & Charlotte Laufkötter & Yue Li & Roland Séférian, 2017. "Emergent constraints on projections of declining primary production in the tropical oceans," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 7(5), pages 355-358, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:7:y:2017:i:5:d:10.1038_nclimate3265
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3265
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    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Bingzhang, 2022. "Thermal diversity affects community responses to warming," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 464(C).
    2. Michele Baggio & Metin Cosgel, 2023. "Racial Diversity and Team Performance: Evidence from the American Offshore Whaling Industry," Working papers 2023-04, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2024.
    3. Chu, Long & Grafton, R. Quentin & Kompas, Tom, 2022. "Optimisation of economic performance and stock resilience in marine capture fisheries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 863-875.

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