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Forecasting societies' adaptive capacities through a demographic metabolism model

Author

Listed:
  • Wolfgang Lutz

    (Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (IIASA, VID/ÖAW and WU), International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA))

  • Raya Muttarak

    (Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (IIASA, VID/ÖAW and WU), International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA))

Abstract

Climate and societies are dynamic. In this Perspective an approach to forecasting important aspects of societal change is proposed to help understanding of how future societies will be affected by climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Wolfgang Lutz & Raya Muttarak, 2017. "Forecasting societies' adaptive capacities through a demographic metabolism model," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 7(3), pages 177-184, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:7:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1038_nclimate3222
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3222
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Adenle, Ademola A. & Ford, James D. & Morton, John & Twomlow, Stephen & Alverson, Keith & Cattaneo, Andrea & Cervigni, Rafaello & Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep & Huq, Saleemul & Helfgott, Ariella & Ebinger,, 2017. "Managing Climate Change Risks in Africa - A Global Perspective," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 190-201.
    2. Christoph Clar & Lukas Löschner & Ralf Nordbeck & Tatjana Fischer & Thomas Thaler, 2021. "Population dynamics and natural hazard risk management: conceptual and practical linkages for the case of Austrian policy making," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 105(2), pages 1765-1796, January.
    3. Lauren Newmyer & Ashton M. Verdery & Haowei Wang & Rachel Margolis, 2022. "Population Aging, Demographic Metabolism, and the Rising Tide of Late Middle Age to Older Adult Loneliness Around the World," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 48(3), pages 829-862, September.
    4. Anamaria Bukvic & Julia Gohlke & Aishwarya Borate & Jessica Suggs, 2018. "Aging in Flood-Prone Coastal Areas: Discerning the Health and Well-Being Risk for Older Residents," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-25, December.
    5. Elisabeth M. Hamin & Yaser Abunnasr & Max Roman Dilthey & Pamela K. Judge & Melissa A. Kenney & Paul Kirshen & Thomas C. Sheahan & Don J. DeGroot & Robert L. Ryan & Brain G. McAdoo & Leonard Nurse & J, 2018. "Pathways to Coastal Resiliency: The Adaptive Gradients Framework," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-20, July.
    6. Carlos F. Mena & Fátima L. Benitez & Carolina Sampedro & Patricia Martinez & Alex Quispe & Melinda Laituri, 2022. "Modeling Urban Growth and the Impacts of Climate Change: The Case of Esmeraldas City, Ecuador," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-22, April.
    7. Guillaume Rohat, 2018. "Projecting Drivers of Human Vulnerability under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-23, March.
    8. Wolfgang Lutz, 2023. "Population decline will likely become a global trend and benefit long-term human wellbeing," Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna, vol. 21(1), pages 41-55.

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