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Embracing uncertainty in climate change policy

Author

Listed:
  • Friederike E. L. Otto

    (Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford)

  • David J. Frame

    (New Zealand Climate Change Research Institute, Victoria University of Wellington)

  • Alexander Otto

    (Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford)

  • Myles R. Allen

    (Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford
    Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics, University of Oxford)

Abstract

This Perspective explores whether policymakers can learn from adaptive management techniques to make climate policies 'anti-fragile', embracing and benefitting from scientific uncertainty, rather than simply being robust to it.

Suggested Citation

  • Friederike E. L. Otto & David J. Frame & Alexander Otto & Myles R. Allen, 2015. "Embracing uncertainty in climate change policy," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 5(10), pages 917-920, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:5:y:2015:i:10:d:10.1038_nclimate2716
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2716
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Svartzman, Romain & Dron, Dominique & Espagne, Etienne, 2019. "From ecological macroeconomics to a theory of endogenous money for a finite planet," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 108-120.
    2. Pretis, Felix & Roser, Max, 2017. "Carbon dioxide emission-intensity in climate projections: Comparing the observational record to socio-economic scenarios," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 718-725.
    3. Laurie Waller & Tim Rayner & Jason Chilvers & Clair Amanda Gough & Irene Lorenzoni & Andrew Jordan & Naomi Vaughan, 2020. "Contested framings of greenhouse gas removal and its feasibility: Social and political dimensions," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 11(4), July.
    4. Dumisani Mthembu & Godwell Nhamo, 2021. "Landing the Climate SDG into South Africa’s Development Trajectory: Mitigation Policies, Strategies and Institutional Setup," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-19, March.
    5. Zheng, Jiali & Duan, Hongbo & Zhou, Sheng & Wang, Shouyang & Gao, Ji & Jiang, Kejun & Gao, Shuo, 2021. "Limiting global warming to below 1.5 °C from 2 °C: An energy-system-based multi-model analysis for China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    6. Škare, Marinko & Porada-Rochoń, Małgorzata, 2023. "Are we making progress on decarbonization? A panel heterogeneous study of the long-run relationship in selected economies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    7. Yuan, Yongna & Duan, Hongbo & Tsvetanov, Tsvetan G., 2020. "Synergizing China's energy and carbon mitigation goals: General equilibrium modeling and policy assessment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    8. B. H. Samset & C. Zhou & J. S. Fuglestvedt & M. T. Lund & J. Marotzke & M. D. Zelinka, 2022. "Earlier emergence of a temperature response to mitigation by filtering annual variability," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.

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