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The impacts of temperature anomalies and political orientation on perceived winter warming

Author

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  • Aaron M. McCright

    (Lyman Briggs College, and Environmental Science and Policy Program, Michigan State University, 919 East Shaw Lane, Room E-35, East Lansing Michigan 48825, USA)

  • Riley E. Dunlap

    (Oklahoma State University, 431 Murray, Stillwater Oklahoma 74078, USA)

  • Chenyang Xiao

    (American University, 4400 Massachusetts Ave NW Washington DC 20016, USA)

Abstract

The evidence that climatic conditions influence beliefs about anthropogenic climate change is mixed. Now research analyses the extent to which US state-level winter temperature anomalies influence the likelihood of perceiving warmer-than-usual temperatures, and the attribution of such temperatures to global warming. Results show that temperature anomalies have a strong influence on perception, whereas attribution is mainly driven by perceived scientific consensus and political orientation.

Suggested Citation

  • Aaron M. McCright & Riley E. Dunlap & Chenyang Xiao, 2014. "The impacts of temperature anomalies and political orientation on perceived winter warming," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(12), pages 1077-1081, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:4:y:2014:i:12:d:10.1038_nclimate2443
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2443
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    Cited by:

    1. Guglielmo Zappalà, 2023. "Drought Exposure and Accuracy: Motivated Reasoning in Climate Change Beliefs," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 85(3), pages 649-672, August.
    2. Teresa Lackner & Luca E. Fierro & Patrick Mellacher, 2024. "Opinion Dynamics meet Agent-based Climate Economics: An Integrated Analysis of Carbon Taxation," LEM Papers Series 2024/11, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    3. Malin, Stephanie A. & Mayer, Adam & Crooks, James L. & McKenzie, Lisa & Peel, Jennifer L. & Adgate, John L., 2019. "Putting on partisan glasses: Political identity, quality of life, and oil and gas production in Colorado," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 738-748.
    4. Stefan Linde, 2020. "The Politicization of Risk: Party Cues, Polarization, and Public Perceptions of Climate Change Risk," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(10), pages 2002-2018, October.
    5. Karine Lacroix & Robert Gifford & Jonathan Rush, 2020. "Climate change beliefs shape the interpretation of forest fire events," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 159(1), pages 103-120, March.
    6. Abhishek Samantray & Paolo Pin, 2019. "Credibility of climate change denial in social media," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 5(1), pages 1-8, December.
    7. Peter D. Howe, 2018. "Perceptions of seasonal weather are linked to beliefs about global climate change: evidence from Norway," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 148(4), pages 467-480, June.
    8. Guglielmo Zappalà, 2022. "Drought exposure and accuracy: Motivated reasoning in climate change beliefs," Working Papers 2022.02, FAERE - French Association of Environmental and Resource Economists.
    9. Frances C. Moore, 2017. "Learning, Adaptation, And Weather In A Changing Climate," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 8(04), pages 1-21, November.
    10. Wanyun Shao & Kirby Goidel, 2016. "Seeing is Believing? An Examination of Perceptions of Local Weather Conditions and Climate Change Among Residents in the U.S. Gulf Coast," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 36(11), pages 2136-2157, November.
    11. Charles Adedayo Ogunbode & Yue Liu & Nicole Tausch, 2017. "The moderating role of political affiliation in the link between flooding experience and preparedness to reduce energy use," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 145(3), pages 445-458, December.
    12. Joseph P. Reser & Graham L. Bradley, 2020. "The nature, significance, and influence of perceived personal experience of climate change," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 11(5), September.
    13. Fernando Mata & Meirielly Santos Jesus & Concha Cano-Díaz & Maria Dos-Santos, 2023. "European Citizens’ Worries and Self-Responsibility towards Climate Change," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-13, April.

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