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Multiple greenhouse-gas feedbacks from the land biosphere under future climate change scenarios

Author

Listed:
  • Benjamin D. Stocker

    (Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern
    Oeschger Center for Climate Change Research, University of Bern)

  • Raphael Roth

    (Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern
    Oeschger Center for Climate Change Research, University of Bern)

  • Fortunat Joos

    (Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern
    Oeschger Center for Climate Change Research, University of Bern)

  • Renato Spahni

    (Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern
    Oeschger Center for Climate Change Research, University of Bern)

  • Marco Steinacher

    (Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern
    Oeschger Center for Climate Change Research, University of Bern)

  • Soenke Zaehle

    (Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry)

  • Lex Bouwman

    (Geochemistry, Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht University
    PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency)

  • Xu-Ri

    (Laboratory of Tibetan Environment Changes and Land Surface Processes, Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Iain Colin Prentice

    (Macquarie University
    Imperial College)

Abstract

The sensitivity of the terrestrial biosphere to changes in climate constitutes a feedback mechanism with the potential to accentuate global warming. Process-based modelling experiments now indicate that under a business-as-usual emissions scenario the biosphere on land is expected to be an increasingly positive feedback to anthropogenic climate change, potentially amplifying equilibrium climate sensitivity by 22–27%.

Suggested Citation

  • Benjamin D. Stocker & Raphael Roth & Fortunat Joos & Renato Spahni & Marco Steinacher & Soenke Zaehle & Lex Bouwman & Xu-Ri & Iain Colin Prentice, 2013. "Multiple greenhouse-gas feedbacks from the land biosphere under future climate change scenarios," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(7), pages 666-672, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:3:y:2013:i:7:d:10.1038_nclimate1864
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1864
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    Cited by:

    1. Kruse, Stefan & Wieczorek, Mareike & Jeltsch, Florian & Herzschuh, Ulrike, 2016. "Treeline dynamics in Siberia under changing climates as inferred from an individual-based model for Larix," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 338(C), pages 101-121.
    2. Favero, Alice & Sohngen, Brent & Hamilton, W. Parker, 2022. "Climate change and timber in Latin America: Will the forestry sector flourish under climate change?," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    3. Qinyi Li & Rafael P. Fernandez & Ryan Hossaini & Fernando Iglesias-Suarez & Carlos A. Cuevas & Eric C. Apel & Douglas E. Kinnison & Jean-François Lamarque & Alfonso Saiz-Lopez, 2022. "Reactive halogens increase the global methane lifetime and radiative forcing in the 21st century," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    4. Wang, Chong & Zhao, Jiongchao & Feng, Yupeng & Shang, Mengfei & Bo, Xiaozhi & Gao, Zhenzhen & Chen, Fu & Chu, Qingquan, 2021. "Optimizing tillage method and irrigation schedule for greenhouse gas mitigation, yield improvement, and water conservation in wheat–maize cropping systems," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    5. Corey Flude & Alexandra Ficht & Frydda Sandoval & Eric Lyons, 2022. "Development of an Urban Turfgrass and Tree Carbon Calculator for Northern Temperate Climates," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-14, September.
    6. Haoshan Wei & Yongqiang Zhang & Qi Huang & Francis H. S. Chiew & Jinkai Luan & Jun Xia & Changming Liu, 2024. "Direct vegetation response to recent CO2 rise shows limited effect on global streamflow," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-9, December.
    7. Kan, Iddo & Reznik, Ami & Kaminski, Jonathan & Kimhi, Ayal, 2023. "The impacts of climate change on cropland allocation, crop production, output prices and social welfare in Israel: A structural econometric framework," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    8. Lyton Chithambo & Venancio Tauringana & Ishmael Tingbani & Laura Achiro, 2022. "Stakeholder pressure and greenhouses gas voluntary disclosures," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(1), pages 159-172, January.
    9. Liam Wagner & Ian Ross & John Foster & Ben Hankamer, 2016. "Trading Off Global Fuel Supply, CO2 Emissions and Sustainable Development," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(3), pages 1-17, March.
    10. Wang, Chong & Gao, Zhenzhen & Zhao, Jiongchao & Feng, Yupeng & Laraib, Iqra & Shang, Mengfei & Wang, Kaicheng & Chen, Fu & Chu, Qingquan, 2022. "Irrigation-induced hydrothermal variation affects greenhouse gas emissions and crop production," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    11. Daniele Conversi, 2021. "Exemplary Ethical Communities. A New Concept for a Livable Anthropocene," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-17, May.

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