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Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade

Author

Listed:
  • Virginie Guemas

    (Institut Català de Ciències del Clima (IC3)
    Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques/Groupe d’Etude de l’Atmosphère Météorologique, Météo-France, CNRS)

  • Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes

    (Institut Català de Ciències del Clima (IC3)
    Instituciò Catalana de Recerca i Estudis Avançats (ICREA))

  • Isabel Andreu-Burillo

    (Institut Català de Ciències del Clima (IC3))

  • Muhammad Asif

    (Institut Català de Ciències del Clima (IC3))

Abstract

In recent years the global warming trend has plateaued, despite increasing anthropogenic emissions. Now research attributes this plateau to an increase in ocean heat uptake, through retrospective predictions of up to 5 years in length. The ability to hindcast this warming plateau strengthens our confidence in the robustness of climate models.

Suggested Citation

  • Virginie Guemas & Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes & Isabel Andreu-Burillo & Muhammad Asif, 2013. "Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(7), pages 649-653, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:3:y:2013:i:7:d:10.1038_nclimate1863
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1863
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    Cited by:

    1. van Wijnbergen, Sweder & Willems, Tim, 2015. "Optimal learning on climate change: Why climate skeptics should reduce emissions," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 17-33.
    2. Diego Macias & Adolf Stips & Elisa Garcia-Gorriz, 2014. "Application of the Singular Spectrum Analysis Technique to Study the Recent Hiatus on the Global Surface Temperature Record," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(9), pages 1-7, September.
    3. Bala Rajaratnam & Joseph Romano & Michael Tsiang & Noah Diffenbaugh, 2015. "Debunking the climate hiatus," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 133(2), pages 129-140, November.

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