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Wildfires offset the increasing but spatially heterogeneous Arctic–boreal CO2 uptake

Author

Listed:
  • Anna-Maria Virkkala

    (Woodwell Climate Research Center)

  • Brendan M. Rogers

    (Woodwell Climate Research Center)

  • Jennifer D. Watts

    (Woodwell Climate Research Center)

  • Kyle A. Arndt

    (Woodwell Climate Research Center)

  • Stefano Potter

    (Woodwell Climate Research Center)

  • Isabel Wargowsky

    (Woodwell Climate Research Center)

  • Edward A. G. Schuur

    (Northern Arizona University
    Northern Arizona University)

  • Craig R. See

    (Northern Arizona University)

  • Marguerite Mauritz

    (University of Texas at El Paso)

  • Julia Boike

    (Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Center for Polar and Marine Research
    Humboldt University)

  • M. Syndonia Bret-Harte

    (University of Alaska Fairbanks)

  • Eleanor J. Burke

    (Met Office Hadley Centre)

  • Arden Burrell

    (Woodwell Climate Research Center)

  • Namyi Chae

    (Korea University)

  • Abhishek Chatterjee

    (California Institute of Technology)

  • Frederic Chevallier

    (Université Paris-Saclay)

  • Torben R. Christensen

    (Aarhus University
    University of Oulu)

  • Roisin Commane

    (Columbia University)

  • Han Dolman

    (Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research
    Vrije Universiteit)

  • Colin W. Edgar

    (University of Alaska Fairbanks)

  • Bo Elberling

    (University of Copenhagen)

  • Craig A. Emmerton

    (University of Alberta)

  • Eugenie S. Euskirchen

    (University of Alaska Fairbanks)

  • Liang Feng

    (University of Edinburgh)

  • Mathias Göckede

    (Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry)

  • Achim Grelle

    (Linnaeus University)

  • Manuel Helbig

    (Dalhousie University
    Université de Montréal
    GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences)

  • David Holl

    (Universität Hamburg)

  • Järvi Järveoja

    (Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences)

  • Sergey V. Karsanaev

    (Division of Federal Research Centre “The Yakut Scientific Centre of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences”)

  • Hideki Kobayashi

    (Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology)

  • Lars Kutzbach

    (Universität Hamburg)

  • Junjie Liu

    (California Institute of Technology)

  • Ingrid T. Luijkx

    (Wageningen University)

  • Efrén López-Blanco

    (Aarhus University
    Greenland Institute of Natural Resources)

  • Kyle Lunneberg

    (San Diego State University)

  • Ivan Mammarella

    (University of Helsinki)

  • Maija E. Marushchak

    (University of Eastern Finland)

  • Mikhail Mastepanov

    (Aarhus University
    University of Oulu)

  • Yojiro Matsuura

    (Tsukuba)

  • Trofim C. Maximov

    (Division of Federal Research Centre “The Yakut Scientific Centre of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences”)

  • Lutz Merbold

    (Agroscope)

  • Gesa Meyer

    (Université de Montréal
    Environment and Climate Change Canada)

  • Mats B. Nilsson

    (Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences)

  • Yosuke Niwa

    (National Institute for Environmental Studies
    Meteorological Research Institute)

  • Walter Oechel

    (San Diego State University)

  • Paul I. Palmer

    (University of Edinburgh)

  • Sang-Jong Park

    (Korea Polar Research Institute)

  • Frans-Jan W. Parmentier

    (University of Oslo)

  • Matthias Peichl

    (Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences)

  • Wouter Peters

    (Wageningen University
    Groningen University)

  • Roman Petrov

    (Division of Federal Research Centre “The Yakut Scientific Centre of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences”)

  • William Quinton

    (Wilfrid Laurier University)

  • Christian Rödenbeck

    (Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry)

  • Torsten Sachs

    (GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences
    Technische Universität Braunschweig)

  • Christopher Schulze

    (Université de Montréal
    University of Alberta)

  • Oliver Sonnentag

    (Université de Montréal)

  • Vincent L. Louis

    (University of Alberta)

  • Eeva-Stiina Tuittila

    (University of Eastern Finland)

  • Masahito Ueyama

    (Osaka Metropolitan University)

  • Andrej Varlagin

    (Russian Academy of Sciences)

  • Donatella Zona

    (San Diego State University)

  • Susan M. Natali

    (Woodwell Climate Research Center)

Abstract

The Arctic–Boreal Zone is rapidly warming, impacting its large soil carbon stocks. Here we use a new compilation of terrestrial ecosystem CO2 fluxes, geospatial datasets and random forest models to show that although the Arctic–Boreal Zone was overall an increasing terrestrial CO2 sink from 2001 to 2020 (mean ± standard deviation in net ecosystem exchange, −548 ± 140 Tg C yr−1; trend, −14 Tg C yr−1; P

Suggested Citation

  • Anna-Maria Virkkala & Brendan M. Rogers & Jennifer D. Watts & Kyle A. Arndt & Stefano Potter & Isabel Wargowsky & Edward A. G. Schuur & Craig R. See & Marguerite Mauritz & Julia Boike & M. Syndonia Br, 2025. "Wildfires offset the increasing but spatially heterogeneous Arctic–boreal CO2 uptake," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 15(2), pages 188-195, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:15:y:2025:i:2:d:10.1038_s41558-024-02234-5
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02234-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kuhn, Max, 2008. "Building Predictive Models in R Using the caret Package," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 28(i05).
    2. Zhihua Liu & John S. Kimball & Ashley P. Ballantyne & Nicholas C. Parazoo & Wen J. Wang & Ana Bastos & Nima Madani & Susan M. Natali & Jennifer D. Watts & Brendan M. Rogers & Philippe Ciais & Kailiang, 2022. "Respiratory loss during late-growing season determines the net carbon dioxide sink in northern permafrost regions," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-13, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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