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‘Tipping points’ confuse and can distract from urgent climate action

Author

Listed:
  • Robert E. Kopp

    (Rutgers University
    Rutgers University)

  • Elisabeth A. Gilmore

    (Carleton University)

  • Rachael L. Shwom

    (Rutgers University
    Rutgers University)

  • Helen Adams

    (King’s College London)

  • Carolina Adler

    (University of Bern)

  • Michael Oppenheimer

    (Princeton University)

  • Anand Patwardhan

    (University of Maryland)

  • Chris Russill

    (Carleton University)

  • Daniela N. Schmidt

    (University of Bristol)

  • Richard York

    (University of Oregon)

Abstract

Tipping points have gained substantial traction in climate change discourses. Here we critique the ‘tipping point’ framing for oversimplifying the diverse dynamics of complex natural and human systems and for conveying urgency without fostering a meaningful basis for climate action. Multiple social scientific frameworks suggest that the deep uncertainty and perceived abstractness of climate tipping points render them ineffective for triggering action and setting governance goals. The framing also promotes confusion between temperature-based policy benchmarks and properties of the climate system. In both natural and human systems, we advocate for clearer, more specific language to describe the phenomena labelled as tipping points and for critical evaluation of whether, how and why different framings can support scientific understanding and climate risk management.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert E. Kopp & Elisabeth A. Gilmore & Rachael L. Shwom & Helen Adams & Carolina Adler & Michael Oppenheimer & Anand Patwardhan & Chris Russill & Daniela N. Schmidt & Richard York, 2025. "‘Tipping points’ confuse and can distract from urgent climate action," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 29-36, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:15:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1038_s41558-024-02196-8
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02196-8
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