Author
Listed:
- Oreane Y. Edelenbosch
(Utrecht Universiteit)
- Andries F. Hof
(Utrecht Universiteit
National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM))
- Maarten Berg
(PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency)
- Harmen Sytze Boer
(PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency)
- Hsing-Hsuan Chen
(Utrecht Universiteit)
- Vassilis Daioglou
(Utrecht Universiteit
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency)
- Mark M. Dekker
(Utrecht Universiteit
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency)
- Jonathan C. Doelman
(PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency)
- Michel G. J. Elzen
(PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam)
- Mathijs Harmsen
(Utrecht Universiteit
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency)
- Stratos Mikropoulos
(Utrecht Universiteit)
- Mariësse A. E. Sluisveld
(PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency)
- Elke Stehfest
(PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency)
- Isabela S. Tagomori
(PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency)
- Willem-Jan Zeist
(Wageningen University and Research)
- Detlef P. Vuuren
(Utrecht Universiteit
PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency)
Abstract
To reach net-zero greenhouse gas targets, carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies are required to compensate for residual emissions in the hard-to-abate sectors. However, dependencies on CDR technologies involve environmental, technical and social risks, particularly related to increased land requirements for afforestation and bioenergy crops. Here, using scenarios consistent with the 1.5 °C target, we show that demand and technological interventions can substantially lower emission levels in four hard-to-abate sectors (industry, agriculture, buildings and transport) and reduce reliance on the use of bioenergy with carbon capture and storage. Specifically, demand measures and technology-oriented measures could limit peak annual bioenergy with carbon capture and storage use to 0.5–2.2 GtCO2e per year and 1.9–7.0 GtCO2e per year, respectively, compared with 10.3 GtCO2e per year in the default 1.5 °C scenario. Dietary change plays a critical role in the demand measures given its large share in residual agricultural emissions.
Suggested Citation
Oreane Y. Edelenbosch & Andries F. Hof & Maarten Berg & Harmen Sytze Boer & Hsing-Hsuan Chen & Vassilis Daioglou & Mark M. Dekker & Jonathan C. Doelman & Michel G. J. Elzen & Mathijs Harmsen & Stratos, 2024.
"Reducing sectoral hard-to-abate emissions to limit reliance on carbon dioxide removal,"
Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 14(7), pages 715-722, July.
Handle:
RePEc:nat:natcli:v:14:y:2024:i:7:d:10.1038_s41558-024-02025-y
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02025-y
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