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Financials threaten to undermine the functioning of emissions markets

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  • Simon Quemin

    (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research – Member of the Leibniz Association
    Climate Economics Chair – Paris-Dauphine University, PSL Research University
    Grantham Research Institute – London School of Economics and Political Science
    EDF Lab Paris-Saclay – Électricité de France R&D, SYSTEME Department)

  • Michael Pahle

    (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research – Member of the Leibniz Association)

Abstract

The participation of financial actors is a key design issue in all emissions allowance markets. Although financials perform several necessary market functions, excessive speculation may undermine market functioning. The potential for harm is gaining prominence as tighter emission limits increasingly attract speculators and investors into allowance markets worldwide. However, adequate warning systems and tools to appraise the beneficial and detrimental facets of financial trading are wanting. We develop preliminary elements of a diagnostic toolbox to assess the scale and impacts of speculation and apply it to the EU emissions trading system. This Perspective seeks to inform current policy debates and invites further research to establish speculation-monitoring systems for allowance markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Simon Quemin & Michael Pahle, 2023. "Financials threaten to undermine the functioning of emissions markets," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 22-31, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:13:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1038_s41558-022-01560-w
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01560-w
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    Cited by:

    1. Borghesi, Simone & Pahle, Michael & Perino, Grischa & Quemin, Simon & Willner, Maximilian, 2023. "The market stability reserve in the EU emissions trading system: a critical review," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 120548, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Heijmans, Roweno J.R.K. & Engström, Max, 2024. "Time Horizons and Emissions Trading," Discussion Papers 2024/2, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
    3. Estelle Cantillon & Aurélie Slechten, 2023. "Market Design for the Environment," NBER Chapters, in: New Directions in Market Design, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Joanna Sitarz & Michael Pahle & Sebastian Osorio & Gunnar Luderer & Robert Pietzcker, 2024. "EU carbon prices signal high policy credibility and farsighted actors," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 9(6), pages 691-702, June.
    5. Lebeau, Alexis & Petitet, Marie & Quemin, Simon & Saguan, Marcelo, 2024. "Long-term issues with the Energy-Only Market design in the context of deep decarbonization," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).

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