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Different climate response persistence causes warming trend unevenness at continental scales

Author

Listed:
  • Qingxiang Li

    (Sun Yat-Sen University
    Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai))

  • Bosi Sheng

    (Sun Yat-Sen University)

  • Jiaying Huang

    (Sun Yat-Sen University)

  • Chao Li

    (East China Normal University)

  • Zhaoyang Song

    (Sun Yat-Sen University
    Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai))

  • Liya Chao

    (Sun Yat-Sen University)

  • Wenbin Sun

    (Sun Yat-Sen University)

  • Yang Yang

    (Sun Yat-Sen University)

  • Boyang Jiao

    (Sun Yat-Sen University)

  • Ziyou Guo

    (Sun Yat-Sen University)

  • Longshi Liao

    (Sun Yat-Sen University)

  • Xuqian Li

    (Sun Yat-Sen University)

  • Chenglong Sun

    (Sun Yat-Sen University)

  • Wen Li

    (Sun Yat-Sen University)

  • Boyin Huang

    (National Centers for Environmental Information, NOAA)

  • Wenjie Dong

    (Sun Yat-Sen University
    Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai))

  • Phil Jones

    (University of East Anglia)

Abstract

Global warming exhibits distinct differences at continental scales, yet whether models capture these differences is unclear. Here, we show that Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 climate models underestimate warming unevenness for China and the United States, possibly leading to a biased estimation of anthropogenic influence on warming over the two regions. Observational records suggest that the surface air temperature warming trends over China are 1.53 ± 0.10 and 1.38 ± 0.12 times those of the United States for 1900–2017 and 1951–2017, respectively. We find that surface air temperature changes over China seem more sensitive to external forcing owing to stronger long-range persistence, leading to substantially different warming trends between China and the United States. Our study provides insight into the drivers of contemporary climate warming that could help in devising climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies for the future.

Suggested Citation

  • Qingxiang Li & Bosi Sheng & Jiaying Huang & Chao Li & Zhaoyang Song & Liya Chao & Wenbin Sun & Yang Yang & Boyang Jiao & Ziyou Guo & Longshi Liao & Xuqian Li & Chenglong Sun & Wen Li & Boyin Huang & W, 2022. "Different climate response persistence causes warming trend unevenness at continental scales," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 12(4), pages 343-349, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:12:y:2022:i:4:d:10.1038_s41558-022-01313-9
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01313-9
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    Cited by:

    1. Deng, Changzhe & Su, Zhifang & Feng, Yufang, 2024. "Extreme climate and corporate financialization: Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 306-321.

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