IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcli/v11y2021i7d10.1038_s41558-021-01075-w.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The impact of climate change on the productivity of conservation agriculture

Author

Listed:
  • Yang Su

    (INRAE AgroParisTech, Université Paris-Saclay)

  • Benoit Gabrielle

    (INRAE AgroParisTech, Université Paris-Saclay)

  • David Makowski

    (INRAE AgroParisTech, Université Paris-Saclay)

Abstract

Conservation agriculture (CA) is being promoted as a set of management practices that can sustain crop production while providing positive environmental benefits. However, its impact on crop productivity is hotly debated, and how this productivity will be affected by climate change remains uncertain. Here we compare the productivity of CA systems and their variants on the basis of no tillage versus conventional tillage systems for eight major crop species under current and future climate conditions using a probabilistic machine-learning approach at the global scale. We reveal large differences in the probability of yield gains with CA across crop types, agricultural management practices, climate zones and geographical regions. For most crops, CA performed better in continental, dry and temperate regions than in tropical ones. Under future climate conditions, the performance of CA is expected to mostly increase for maize over its tropical areas, improving the competitiveness of CA for this staple crop.

Suggested Citation

  • Yang Su & Benoit Gabrielle & David Makowski, 2021. "The impact of climate change on the productivity of conservation agriculture," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 11(7), pages 628-633, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:11:y:2021:i:7:d:10.1038_s41558-021-01075-w
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-021-01075-w
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-021-01075-w
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41558-021-01075-w?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Galiana-Carballo, C. & Rivera-Ferre, M.G. & Méndez, P.F. & Palau-Salvador, G., 2024. "Reducing fossil fuel dependency in smallholding farming in l'Horta de València, Spain: A socio-metabolic approach," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    2. Shizhen Bai & Xuelian Jia, 2022. "Agricultural Supply Chain Financing Strategies under the Impact of Risk Attitudes," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-18, July.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:11:y:2021:i:7:d:10.1038_s41558-021-01075-w. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.