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A systematic global stocktake of evidence on human adaptation to climate change

Author

Listed:
  • Lea Berrang-Ford

    (University of Leeds)

  • A. R. Siders

    (University of Delaware)

  • Alexandra Lesnikowski

    (Concordia University)

  • Alexandra Paige Fischer

    (University of Michigan)

  • Max W. Callaghan

    (University of Leeds
    Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change)

  • Neal R. Haddaway

    (Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change
    Stockholm Environment Institute
    University of Johannesburg)

  • Katharine J. Mach

    (University of Miami
    University of Miami)

  • Malcolm Araos

    (New York University)

  • Mohammad Aminur Rahman Shah

    (University of Glasgow)

  • Mia Wannewitz

    (Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich)

  • Deepal Doshi

    (Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich)

  • Timo Leiter

    (London School of Economics and Political Science)

  • Custodio Matavel

    (Leibniz-Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF))

  • Justice Issah Musah-Surugu

    (United Nations University
    University of Ghana)

  • Gabrielle Wong-Parodi

    (Stanford University)

  • Philip Antwi-Agyei

    (Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology)

  • Idowu Ajibade

    (Portland State University)

  • Neha Chauhan

    (Leuphana University)

  • William Kakenmaster

    (University of Notre Dame)

  • Caitlin Grady

    (Penn State University)

  • Vasiliki I. Chalastani

    (National Technical University of Athens)

  • Kripa Jagannathan

    (University of Michigan
    Lawrence Berkeley National Lab)

  • Eranga K. Galappaththi

    (Laval University
    McGill University
    Virginia Tech)

  • Asha Sitati

    (United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction)

  • Giulia Scarpa

    (University of Leeds)

  • Edmond Totin

    (Université Nationale d’Agriculture)

  • Katy Davis

    (University of Leeds)

  • Nikita Charles Hamilton

    (NCH Strategy Group
    The Department of Environmental Planning and Protection (DEPP))

  • Christine J. Kirchhoff

    (University of Connecticut)

  • Praveen Kumar

    (Jawaharlal Nehru University
    Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg)

  • Brian Pentz

    (University of Toronto Scarborough)

  • Nicholas P. Simpson

    (University of Cape Town)

  • Emily Theokritoff

    (Climate Analytics
    Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin)

  • Delphine Deryng

    (Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin)

  • Diana Reckien

    (University of Twente)

  • Carol Zavaleta-Cortijo

    (Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia
    University of Leeds)

  • Nicola Ulibarri

    (University of California Irvine)

  • Alcade C. Segnon

    (University of Abomey-Calavi
    International Crops Research Institute for the Semi-Arid Tropics (ICRISAT))

  • Vhalinavho Khavhagali

    (University of Twente)

  • Yuanyuan Shang

    (The Australian National University
    University of Essex
    Preqin Ltd)

  • Luckson Zvobgo

    (University of Cape Town)

  • Zinta Zommers

    (United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs)

  • Jiren Xu

    (University of Glasgow)

  • Portia Adade Williams

    (CSIR-Science and Technology Policy Research Institute)

  • Ivan Villaverde Canosa

    (University of Leeds)

  • Nicole Maanen

    (Climate Analytics)

  • Bianca Bavel

    (University of Leeds)

  • Maarten Aalst

    (University of Twente
    Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre
    Columbia University)

  • Lynée L. Turek-Hankins

    (University of Miami)

  • Hasti Trivedi

    (Maharaja Sayajirao University of Baroda)

  • Christopher H. Trisos

    (University of Cape Town)

  • Adelle Thomas

    (Climate Analytics
    University of The Bahamas)

  • Shinny Thakur

    (Kosi-Katarmal)

  • Sienna Templeman

    (Columbia University
    National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Goddard Institute for Space Studies)

  • Lindsay C. Stringer

    (University of York)

  • Garry Sotnik

    (University of Michigan)

  • Kathryn Dana Sjostrom

    (Memphis-Shelby County Division of Planning and Development
    University of Memphis)

  • Chandni Singh

    (Indian Institute for Human Settlements)

  • Mariella Z. Siña

    (Cayetano Heredia University)

  • Roopam Shukla

    (Telegrafenberg)

  • Jordi Sardans

    (CSIC, Global Ecology Unit CREAF-CEAB-UAB, Bellaterra
    CREAF, Cerdanyola del Vallès)

  • Eunice A. Salubi

    (University of Waterloo)

  • Lolita Shaila Safaee Chalkasra

    (University of Ottawa
    International Development Research Centre)

  • Raquel Ruiz-Díaz

    (Future Oceans Lab, CIM-Universidade de Vigo)

  • Carys Richards

    (University of St Andrews
    University College London)

  • Pratik Pokharel

    (Danish Cancer Society Research Centre
    Edith Cowan University)

  • Jan Petzold

    (Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich
    University of Hamburg)

  • Josep Penuelas

    (CSIC, Global Ecology Unit CREAF-CEAB-UAB, Bellaterra
    CREAF, Cerdanyola del Vallès)

  • Julia Pelaez Avila

    (University of Cape Town)

  • Julia B. Pazmino Murillo

    (Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development)

  • Souha Ouni

    (Columbia University)

  • Jennifer Niemann

    (University of Miami)

  • Miriam Nielsen

    (Columbia University
    National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Goddard Institute for Space Studies)

  • Mark New

    (University of Cape Town
    University of East Anglia)

  • Patricia Nayna Schwerdtle

    (Heidelberg University
    Monash University
    Medecins Sans Frontieres International)

  • Gabriela Nagle Alverio

    (Duke University
    Duke University
    Duke University)

  • Cristina A. Mullin

    (University of Connecticut
    Environmental Protection Agency)

  • Joshua Mullenite

    (Wagner College)

  • Anuszka Mosurska

    (University of Leeds)

  • Mike D. Morecroft

    (Natural England)

  • Jan C. Minx

    (University of Leeds
    Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change)

  • Gina Maskell

    (Telegrafenberg)

  • Abraham Marshall Nunbogu

    (University of Waterloo)

  • Alexandre K. Magnan

    (IDDRI-Sciences Po
    LIENSs Laboratory, CNRS & University of La Rochelle)

  • Shuaib Lwasa

    (Global Centre on Adaptation
    Makerere University)

  • Megan Lukas-Sithole

    (University of Cape Town)

  • Tabea Lissner

    (Climate Analytics)

  • Oliver Lilford

    (Australian National University)

  • Steven F. Koller

    (University of Miami)

  • Matthew Jurjonas

    (Michigan Chapter
    The Cooperative Institute for Great Lakes Research)

  • Elphin Tom Joe

    (World Resources Institute)

  • Lam T. M. Huynh

    (University of Tokyo)

  • Avery Hill

    (Stanford University)

  • Rebecca R. Hernandez

    (University of California
    University of California)

  • Greeshma Hegde

    (Socratus Foundation for Collective Wisdom)

  • Tom Hawxwell

    (HafenCity University
    Fraunhofer Institute for Industrial Engineering (IAO))

  • Sherilee Harper

    (University of Alberta)

  • Alexandra Harden

    (University of Connecticut)

  • Marjolijn Haasnoot

    (Deltares
    Utrecht University)

  • Elisabeth A. Gilmore

    (Clark University)

  • Leah Gichuki

    (International Livestock Research Institute)

  • Alyssa Gatt

    (Wilfrid Laurier University)

  • Matthias Garschagen

    (Ludwig-Maximilians University Munich)

  • James D. Ford

    (University of Leeds)

  • Andrew Forbes

    (University of Ottawa)

  • Aidan D. Farrell

    (The University of the West Indies—St Augustine Campus)

  • Carolyn A. F. Enquist

    (US Geological Survey, Southwest Climate Adaptation Science Center)

  • Susan Elliott

    (University of Waterloo)

  • Emily Duncan

    (University of Guelph)

  • Erin Coughlan de Perez

    (Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre
    Columbia University
    Tufts University)

  • Shaugn Coggins

    (University of Alberta)

  • Tara Chen

    (E-DA Hospital)

  • Donovan Campbell

    (The University of West Indies)

  • Katherine E. Browne

    (Stockholm Environment Institute)

  • Kathryn J. Bowen

    (Australian National University
    Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies
    University of Melbourne)

  • Robbert Biesbroek

    (Wageningen University)

  • Indra D. Bhatt

    (Kosi-Katarmal)

  • Rachel Bezner Kerr

    (Cornell University)

  • Stephanie L. Barr

    (University of Waterloo)

  • Emily Baker

    (Cornell University)

  • Stephanie E. Austin

    (Ostbayerische Technische Hochschule (OTH) Amberg-Weiden)

  • Ingrid Arotoma-Rojas

    (University of Leeds)

  • Christa Anderson

    (WWF)

  • Warda Ajaz

    (National University of Sciences and Technology)

  • Tanvi Agrawal

    (Ashoka Trust for Research in Ecology and the Environment)

  • Thelma Zulfawu Abu

    (University of Waterloo)

Abstract

Assessing global progress on human adaptation to climate change is an urgent priority. Although the literature on adaptation to climate change is rapidly expanding, little is known about the actual extent of implementation. We systematically screened >48,000 articles using machine learning methods and a global network of 126 researchers. Our synthesis of the resulting 1,682 articles presents a systematic and comprehensive global stocktake of implemented human adaptation to climate change. Documented adaptations were largely fragmented, local and incremental, with limited evidence of transformational adaptation and negligible evidence of risk reduction outcomes. We identify eight priorities for global adaptation research: assess the effectiveness of adaptation responses, enhance the understanding of limits to adaptation, enable individuals and civil society to adapt, include missing places, scholars and scholarship, understand private sector responses, improve methods for synthesizing different forms of evidence, assess the adaptation at different temperature thresholds, and improve the inclusion of timescale and the dynamics of responses.

Suggested Citation

  • Lea Berrang-Ford & A. R. Siders & Alexandra Lesnikowski & Alexandra Paige Fischer & Max W. Callaghan & Neal R. Haddaway & Katharine J. Mach & Malcolm Araos & Mohammad Aminur Rahman Shah & Mia Wannewit, 2021. "A systematic global stocktake of evidence on human adaptation to climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 11(11), pages 989-1000, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:11:y:2021:i:11:d:10.1038_s41558-021-01170-y
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-021-01170-y
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    Cited by:

    1. Andrew Russell & Paul Sayers, 2022. "Assessing Future Flood Risk and Developing Integrated Flood Risk Management Strategies: A Case Study from the UK Climate Change Risk Assessment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-14, October.
    2. Lena I. Fuldauer & Scott Thacker & Robyn A. Haggis & Francesco Fuso-Nerini & Robert J. Nicholls & Jim W. Hall, 2022. "Targeting climate adaptation to safeguard and advance the Sustainable Development Goals," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-15, December.
    3. Kythreotis, Andrew P. & Hannaford, Matthew & Howarth, Candice & Bosworth, Gary, 2024. "Translating climate risk assessments into more effective adaptation decision-making: the importance of social and political aspects of place-based climate risk," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 122155, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. Jan Petzold & Lukas Mose, 2023. "Urban Greening as a Response to Climate-Related Heat Risk: A Social–Geographical Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-16, March.
    5. Leslie Lipper & Jyotsna Puri & Romina Cavatassi & Nancy McCarthy, 2022. "How does climate change affect the evidence we need for agricultural development?," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 53(6), pages 911-923, November.
    6. Olivia Serdeczny & Marina Andrijevic & Claire Fyson & Tabea Lissner & Inga Menke & Carl-Friedrich Schleussner & Emily Theokritoff & Adelle Thomas, 2024. "Climatic risks to adaptive capacity," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 1-16, January.
    7. Reckien, Diana & Buzasi, Attila & Olazabal, Marta & Spyridaki, Niki-Artemis & Eckersley, Peter & Simoes, Sofia G. & Salvia, Monica & Pietrapertosa, Filomena & Fokaides, Paris & Goonesekera, Sascha M. , 2023. "Quality of urban climate adaptation plans over time," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 3, pages 1-14.
    8. Anqi Yang & Shudong Yang, 2023. "Negative Sentiment Modeling and Public Legal Liability from Urban Green Space: A Framework for Policy Action in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-15, March.
    9. Vargas Falla, Ana Maria & Brink, Ebba & Boyd, Emily, 2024. "Quiet resistance speaks: A global literature review of the politics of popular resistance to climate adaptation interventions," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    10. Zagaria, Cecilia & Schulp, Catharina J.E. & Malek, Žiga & Verburg, Peter H., 2023. "Potential for land and water management adaptations in Mediterranean croplands under climate change," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    11. Jiao, Xiyu & Pretis, Felix & Schwarz, Moritz, 2024. "Testing for coefficient distortion due to outliers with an application to the economic impacts of climate change," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 239(1).
    12. Lam Thi Mai Huynh & Jie Su & Quanli Wang & Lindsay C. Stringer & Adam D. Switzer & Alexandros Gasparatos, 2024. "Meta-analysis indicates better climate adaptation and mitigation performance of hybrid engineering-natural coastal defence measures," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-16, December.
    13. Theodoros Chatzivasileiadis & Ignasi Cortes Arbues & Daniel Lincke & Jochen Hinkel & Theodoros Chatzivasileiadis & Richard S.J. Tol, "undated". "Actualised and future changes in regional economic growth through sea level rise," Working Paper Series 0324, Department of Economics, University of Sussex Business School.
    14. Deng, Nana & Wang, Bo & Wang, Zhaohua, 2023. "Does targeted poverty alleviation improve households’ adaptation to hot weathers: Evidence from electricity consumption of poor households," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    15. Ashrita Saran & Sabina Singh & Neha Gupta & Sujata Chodankar Walke & Ranjana Rao & Christine Simiyu & Suchi Malhotra & Avni Mishra & Ranjitha Puskur & Edoardo Masset & Howard White & Hugh Sharma Waddi, 2022. "PROTOCOL: Interventions promoting resilience through climate‐smart agricultural practices for women farmers: A systematic review," Campbell Systematic Reviews, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 18(3), September.
    16. Gil-Clavel, Sofia & Wagenblast, Thorid & Akkerman, Joos & Filatova, Tatiana, 2024. "Patterns in Reported Adaptation Constraints: Insights from Peer-Reviewed Literature on Flood and Sea-Level Rise," SocArXiv 3cqvn, Center for Open Science.
    17. Tom Spencer & Alexandre K. Magnan & Simon Donner & Matthias Garschagen & James Ford & Virginie K. E. Duvat & Colette C. C. Wabnitz, 2024. "Habitability of low-lying socio-ecological systems under a changing climate," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 177(1), pages 1-19, January.
    18. Till Baldenius & Nicolas Koch & Hannah Klauber & Nadja Klein, 2023. "Heat increases experienced racial segregation in the United States," Papers 2306.13772, arXiv.org.
    19. Gil-Clavel, Sofia & Wagenblast, Thorid & Filatova, Tatiana, 2023. "Farmers’ Incremental and Transformational Climate Change Adaptation in Different Regions: A Natural Language Processing Comparative Literature Review," SocArXiv 3dp5e, Center for Open Science.
    20. Fraschini, Filippo & Hunt, Alistair & Zoboli, Roberto, 2022. "Decision tools for adaptation to climate change: Portfolio analysis of tea plantation investments in Rwanda," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    21. Nasir Abbas Khan & Ashfaq Ahmad Shah & Muhammad Atiq Ur Rehman Tariq & Ataharul Chowdhury & Uttam Khanal, 2022. "Impact of Farmers’ Climate Risk Perception and Socio-Economic Attributes on Their Choice of ICT-Based Agricultural Information Services: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-19, August.

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