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Wave of net zero emission targets opens window to meeting the Paris Agreement

Author

Listed:
  • Niklas Höhne

    (NewClimate Institute
    Wageningen University)

  • Matthew J. Gidden

    (Climate Analytics
    International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA))

  • Michel Elzen

    (PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency)

  • Frederic Hans

    (NewClimate Institute)

  • Claire Fyson

    (Climate Analytics)

  • Andreas Geiges

    (Climate Analytics)

  • M. Louise Jeffery

    (NewClimate Institute)

  • Sofia Gonzales-Zuñiga

    (NewClimate Institute)

  • Silke Mooldijk

    (NewClimate Institute)

  • William Hare

    (Climate Analytics)

  • Joeri Rogelj

    (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
    Imperial College London)

Abstract

National net zero emission targets could, if fully implemented, reduce best estimates of projected global average temperature increase to 2.0–2.4 °C by 2100, bringing the Paris Agreement temperature goal within reach. A total of 131 countries are discussing, have announced or have adopted net zero targets, covering 72% of global emissions. These targets could substantially lower projected warming as compared to currently implemented policies (2.9–3.2 °C) or pledges submitted to the Paris Agreement (2.4–2.9 °C).

Suggested Citation

  • Niklas Höhne & Matthew J. Gidden & Michel Elzen & Frederic Hans & Claire Fyson & Andreas Geiges & M. Louise Jeffery & Sofia Gonzales-Zuñiga & Silke Mooldijk & William Hare & Joeri Rogelj, 2021. "Wave of net zero emission targets opens window to meeting the Paris Agreement," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 11(10), pages 820-822, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:11:y:2021:i:10:d:10.1038_s41558-021-01142-2
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-021-01142-2
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    Cited by:

    1. Liping Zhao & Xincheng Li & Xiangmei Li & Chenyang Ai, 2022. "Dynamic Changes and Regional Differences of Net Carbon Sequestration of Food Crops in the Yangtze River Economic Belt of China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(20), pages 1-16, October.
    2. Scott, Daniel & Gössling, Stefan, 2022. "A review of research into tourism and climate change - Launching the annals of tourism research curated collection on tourism and climate change," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    3. Huang, Wenbo & Cen, Jiwen & Chen, Juanwen & Cao, Wenjiong & Li, Zhibin & Li, Feng & Jiang, Fangming, 2022. "Heat extraction from hot dry rock by super-long gravity heat pipe: A field test," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    4. Linhe Chen & Yanhong Hang & Quanfeng Li, 2023. "Spatial-Temporal Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Carbon Emissions from Land Use and Land Cover in Black Soil Region of Northeast China Based on LMDI Simulation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-25, June.
    5. Khanam, Tahamina & Reiner, David M, 2022. "Evaluating gaps in knowledge, willingness and heating performance in individual preferences on household energy and climate policy: Evidence from the UK," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    6. Hemmings, Peter & Mulheron, Michael & Murphy, Richard J. & Prescott, Matt, 2023. "Investigating the robustness of UK airport net zero plans," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    7. Fournier Gabela, Julio G. & Freund, Florian, 2022. "Potential carbon leakage risk: A cross-sector cross-country assessment in the OECD area," Conference papers 333468, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    8. KERAMIDAS Kimon & FOSSE Florian & DIAZ VAZQUEZ Ana & DOWLING Paul & GARAFFA Rafael & DESPRÉS Jacques & RUSS Hans Peter & SCHADE Burkhard & SCHMITZ Andreas & SORIA RAMIREZ Antonio & VANDYCK Toon & WEIT, 2021. "Global Energy and Climate Outlook 2021: Advancing towards climate neutrality," JRC Research Reports JRC126767, Joint Research Centre.
    9. Udaya Subedi & Kazi Kader & Kethmi N. Jayawardhane & Hari Poudel & Guanqun Chen & Surya Acharya & Luiz S. A. Camargo & Daniela Matias de C. Bittencourt & Stacy D. Singer, 2022. "The Potential of Novel Gene Editing-Based Approaches in Forages and Rumen Archaea for Reducing Livestock Methane Emissions," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-21, October.
    10. Keliang Wang & Bin Zhao & Tianzheng Fan & Jinning Zhang, 2022. "Economic Growth Targets and Carbon Emissions: Evidence from China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(13), pages 1-16, June.
    11. Linghao Meng & Jusen Asuka, 2022. "Impacts of Energy Transition on Life Cycle Carbon Emission and Water Consumption in Japan’s Electric Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-14, April.
    12. Kılkış, Şiir & Ulpiani, Giulia & Vetters, Nadja, 2024. "Visions for climate neutrality and opportunities for co-learning in European cities," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    13. Hanwoong Kim & Haewon McJeon & Dawoon Jung & Hanju Lee & Candelaria Bergero & Jiyong Eom, 2021. "Integrated Assessment Modeling of Korea 2050 Carbon Neutrality Technology Pathways," Papers 2111.01598, arXiv.org.
    14. Taeseop Park & Keunju Song & Jaeik Jeong & Hongseok Kim, 2023. "Convolutional Autoencoder-Based Anomaly Detection for Photovoltaic Power Forecasting of Virtual Power Plants," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-20, July.
    15. Farid Karimi, 2021. "Stakeholders’ Risk Perceptions of Decarbonised Energy System: Insights into Patterns of Behaviour," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-14, November.
    16. Wei Shao & Debao Dai & Yunqing Zhao & Liang Ye, 2024. "The Effect of Carbon Trading Pilot Policy on Resource Allocation Efficiency: A Multiple Mediating Effect Model of Development, Innovation, and Investment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-22, August.
    17. Leonardo Nascimento & Takeshi Kuramochi & Niklas Höhne, 2022. "The G20 emission projections to 2030 improved since the Paris Agreement, but only slightly," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 27(6), pages 1-24, August.
    18. Chu-Lun Hsieh & Wen-Hsien Tsai, 2023. "Towards Carbon Neutrality and Circular Economy in the Glass Industry by Using the Production Decision Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(22), pages 1-18, November.
    19. Junpei Nan & Jieran Feng & Xu Deng & Chao Wang & Ke Sun & Hao Zhou, 2022. "Hierarchical Low-Carbon Economic Dispatch with Source-Load Bilateral Carbon-Trading Based on Aumann–Shapley Method," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-17, July.
    20. D'Orazio, Paola & Hertel, Tobias & Kasbrink, Fynn, 2022. "No need to worry? Estimating the exposure of the German banking sector to climate-related transition risks," Ruhr Economic Papers 946, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    21. Thomas Hickmann & Christoph Bertram & Frank Biermann & Elina Brutschin & Elmar Kriegler & Jasmine E. Livingston & Silvia Pianta & Keywan Riahi & Bas van Ruijven & Detlef van Vuuren, 2022. "Exploring Global Climate Policy Futures and Their Representation in Integrated Assessment Models," Politics and Governance, Cogitatio Press, vol. 10(3), pages 171-185.
    22. Gong, Huiwen & Andersen, Allan Dahl, 2024. "The role of material resources for rapid technology diffusion in net-zero transitions: Insights from EV lithium-ion battery Technological Innovation System in China," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    23. Iordanis Eleftheriadis & Evgenia Anagnostopoulou, 2024. "Developing a Tool for Calculating the Carbon Footprint in SMEs," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-23, February.
    24. Jieran Feng & Hao Zhou, 2022. "Bi-Level Optimal Capacity Planning of Load-Side Electric Energy Storage Using an Emission-Considered Carbon Incentive Mechanism," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-18, June.

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