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The Impacts of State Government Tax and Spending Policies on Domestic Migration in the United States: An Analysis for the Great Recession Period July 1, 2008-June 30, 2009

Author

Listed:
  • Richard J. Cebula

    (Jacksonville University)

Abstract

This study investigates the relevance of the Tiebout hypothesis for migration during the Great Recession. The model allows for economic, quality-of-life, and fiscal factors. For the study period July 1, 2008-June 30, 2009, the gross state-level in-migration rate was an increasing function of expected per capita income, state parks per capita, and warmer January temperatures and a decreasing function of the cost of living, the poverty rate, the average state income tax rate, per capita property taxation, and the presence of hazardous waste sites. The estimation results suggest migrants prefer lower state income tax burdens and lower property tax burdens. Migrants’ evaluation of government services in determining their choice of location appears to depend upon the type of government service. While consumer-voters on appear to prefer states with a greater provision numbers of parks per capita, the results do not indicate a strong preference for states with higher per pupil outlays on public education.

Suggested Citation

  • Richard J. Cebula, 2016. "The Impacts of State Government Tax and Spending Policies on Domestic Migration in the United States: An Analysis for the Great Recession Period July 1, 2008-June 30, 2009," Journal of Economic Insight, Missouri Valley Economic Association, vol. 42(2), pages 1-22.
  • Handle: RePEc:mve:journl:v:42:y:2016:i:2:p:1-22
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population
    • H71 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue
    • H72 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Budget and Expenditures
    • H76 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - Other Expenditure Categories

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