IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/mof/journl/ppr15_01_07.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spillover Effects of Asian Financial Markets on the Global Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Mariko Tanaka

    (Associate Professor, Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Musashino University)

  • Shin-ichi Fukuda

    (Professor, Graduate School of Economics, University of Tokyo)

Abstract

This paper aims to find out how much stronger the spillover effects of a shock in Asian financial markets on the global financial markets have become since the GFC (Global Financial Crisis). In the first half of the analysis, the paper analyzes spillover effects in stock markets. An estimation based on a GVAR model shows that the impacts of a shock in Asian emerging economies have become stronger since the GFC. However, the increase in Asian impacts is attributable to a shock in the manufacturing sector, rather than in the financial sector. This suggests that the increase in the spillover effects since the GFC reflects an increase in the impacts of a shock in the manufacturing sector in Asian emerging economies. In the second half of the analysis, the paper examines spillover effects across foreign exchange rates, focusing on effects originating from the Chinese Yuan. Based on the data on changes in the Chinese Yuan’s exchange rate between 1 AM and 2 AM GMT, this analysis reveals that exchange rate policy changes made by the People’s Bank of China (PBC) have had positive spillover effects on many developed countries since the summer of 2015. The results of this empirical analysis suggest that amid the growth in Asia’s presence in the global economy, Asia’s impacts are increasing in the global financial markets as well.

Suggested Citation

  • Mariko Tanaka & Shin-ichi Fukuda, 2019. "Spillover Effects of Asian Financial Markets on the Global Markets," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, vol. 15(1), pages 151-174, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:mof:journl:ppr15_01_07
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.mof.go.jp/english/pri/publication/pp_review/ppr15_01_07.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Peter J. Morgan, 2011. "Impact of US Quantitative Easing Policy on Emerging Asia," Macroeconomics Working Papers 23215, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    2. Ito, Takatoshi, 2017. "A new financial order in Asia: Will a RMB bloc emerge?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 232-257.
    3. repec:bla:pacecr:v:23:y:2018:i:1:p:109-126 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. John H. Rogers & Chiara Scotti & Jonathan H. Wright, 2014. "Evaluating asset-market effects of unconventional monetary policy: a multi-country review [Uncertainty of interest rate path as a monetary policy instrument]," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 29(80), pages 749-799.
    5. Didier, Tatiana & Llovet, Ruth & Schmukler, Sergio L., 2017. "International financial integration of East Asia and Pacific," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 52-66.
    6. Shin-ichi Fukuda & Mariko Tanaka, 2017. "The Impacts of Emerging Asia on Global Financial Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(12), pages 2725-2743, December.
    7. Anaya, Pablo & Hachula, Michael & Offermanns, Christian J., 2017. "Spillovers of U.S. unconventional monetary policy to emerging markets: The role of capital flows," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PB), pages 275-295.
    8. Kawai, Masahiro & Pontines, Victor, 2016. "Is there really a renminbi bloc in Asia?: A modified Frankel–Wei approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 72-97.
    9. Raju Huidrom & M. Ayhan Kose & Hideaki Matsuoka & Franziska L. Ohnsorge, 2020. "How important are spillovers from major emerging markets?," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(1), pages 47-63, March.
    10. Shin-Ichi Fukuda & Sanae Ohno, 2008. "Post-Crisis Exchange Rate Regimes In Asean: A New Empirical Test Based On Intra-Daily Data," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 53(02), pages 191-213.
    11. Gauvin, L. & McLoughlin, C. & Reinhardt, D., 2013. "Policy Uncertainty Spillovers to Emerging Markets - Evidence from Capital Flows," Working papers 435, Banque de France.
    12. Ito, Hiro & Kawai, Masahiro, 2016. "Trade invoicing in major currencies in the 1970s–1990s: Lessons for renminbi internationalization," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 123-145.
    13. Aizenman, Joshua & Chinn, Menzie D. & Ito, Hiro, 2017. "Balance sheet effects on monetary and financial spillovers: The East Asian crisis plus 20," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 258-282.
    14. Jeffrey A. Frankel & Shang-Jin Wei, 1994. "Yen Bloc or Dollar Bloc? Exchange Rate Policies of the East Asian Economies," NBER Chapters, in: Macroeconomic Linkage: Savings, Exchange Rates, and Capital Flows, pages 295-333, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Shin-ichi Fukuda & Mariko Tanaka, 2017. "The Impacts of Emerging Asia on Global Financial Markets," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-1050, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    16. Neely, Christopher J., 2015. "Unconventional monetary policy had large international effects," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 101-111.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Shin-ichi Fukuda & Mariko Tanaka, 2017. "The Impacts of Emerging Asia on Global Financial Markets," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-1050, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    2. Shin-ichi Fukuda & Mariko Tanaka, 2017. "The Impacts of Emerging Asia on Global Financial Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(12), pages 2725-2743, December.
    3. Kinkyo, Takuji, 2021. "Region-wide connectedness of Asian equity and currency markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    4. Hwee K. Chow, 2021. "Connectedness of Asia Pacific forex markets: China's growing influence," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3807-3818, July.
    5. Qing-yuan Sui, 2019. "China’s Economic Growth and International Capital Flows," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, vol. 15(1), pages 121-150, July.
    6. Ito, Hiro & McCauley, Robert N., 2019. "A key currency view of global imbalances," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 97-115.
    7. Fang, Yi & Jing, Zhongbo & Shi, Yukun & Zhao, Yang, 2021. "Financial spillovers and spillbacks: New evidence from China and G7 countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 184-200.
    8. Cenedese, Gino & Elard, Ilaf, 2021. "Unconventional monetary policy and the portfolio choice of international mutual funds," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    9. Chiappini, Raphaël & Lahet, Delphine, 2020. "Exchange rate movements in emerging economies - Global vs regional factors in Asia," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    10. Chang Sik Kim & Sunghyun Kim & Yunjong Wang, 2018. "RMB Bloc in East Asia: Too Early to Talk About It?," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 17(3), pages 31-48, Fall.
    11. Thi Bich Ngoc Tran & Hoang Cam Huong Pham, 2020. "The Spillover Effects of the US Unconventional Monetary Policy: New Evidence from Asian Developing Countries," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-26, July.
    12. Shin-ichi Fukuda, 2019. "The Effects of Japan’s Unconventional Monetary Policy on Asian Stock Markets," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, vol. 15(1), pages 1-20, July.
    13. Kinkyo, Takuji, 2020. "Growing influences of the Chinese renminbi on Asian exchange rates: Evidence from a wavelet analysis of dynamic spillovers," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    14. He, Qing & Liu, Junyi & Yu, Jishuang, 2023. "Dancing with dragon: The RMB and developing economies’ currencies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    15. An, Jiyoun & Kim, Hyo Sang & Park, Bokyeong, 2024. "Do China's policy measures for RMB internationalization foster currency co-movements?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 1033-1050.
    16. Shigeki Ono, 2020. "Impacts of conventional and unconventional US monetary policies on global financial markets," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 1-24, February.
    17. Bekaert, Geert & Hoerova, Marie & Xu, Nancy, 2023. "Risk, Monetary Policy and Asset Prices in a Global World," CEPR Discussion Papers 18229, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    18. Keddad, Benjamin & Sato, Kiyotaka, 2022. "The influence of the renminbi and its macroeconomic determinants: A new Chinese monetary order in Asia?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    19. Prabheesh, K.P. & Padhan, Rakesh & Bhat, Javed Ahmad, 2024. "Do financial markets react to emerging economies’ asset purchase program? Evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic period," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    20. Konstantinos N. Konstantakis & Panayotis G. Michaelides & Livia Chatzieleftheriou & Arsenios‐Georgios N. Prelorentzos, 2022. "Crisis and the Chinese miracle: A network—GVAR model," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(3), pages 900-921, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    emerging economies; cross-border spillover effects; Asian financial market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:mof:journl:ppr15_01_07. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Policy Research Institute (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/prigvjp.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.