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Fighting Inflation within the Monetary Union and Outside: The Case of the Visegrad 4

Author

Listed:
  • Reiner Martin

    (National Bank of Slovakia (NBS))

  • Piroska Nagy Mohacsi

    (London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE))

Abstract

The post-pandemic inflation surge tested monetary policy frameworks around the world. It was a particular test for the four Visegrad countries (V4) in Central- Eastern Europe, which provided a "natural experiment" to examine monetary policy outcomes under two different monetary regimes. With broadly similar economic characteristics, Slovakia was already in the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) before the post-pandemic inflation hit, whereas the other three countries (Czechia, Hungary and Poland) were not. What was the inflation performance of the V4 countries under the two different regimes? What does this imply for the cost/benefit analysis of euro adoption for countries which are still outside the euro area? We find that EMU membership was beneficial both during "normal times" as the benefits of monetary sovereignty for small, open, integrated economies faded away, and particularly helpful during crisis times.

Suggested Citation

  • Reiner Martin & Piroska Nagy Mohacsi, 2024. "Fighting Inflation within the Monetary Union and Outside: The Case of the Visegrad 4," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 23(4), pages 102-119.
    • Handle: RePEc:mnb:finrev:v:23:y:2024:i:4:p:102-119
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflation; monetary policy; EMU; ECB; euro area; Central-Eastern Europe;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E02 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Institutions and the Macroeconomy
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F02 - International Economics - - General - - - International Economic Order and Integration
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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